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This study assessed the effectiveness of machine learning models in predicting poverty levels in the Philippines using five boosting algorithms: Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), CatBoosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Light…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Erika Lynet Salvador

We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Varun Kshirsagar , Jerzy Wieczorek , Sharada Ramanathan , Rachel Wells

Poverty prediction models are used to address missing data issues in a variety of contexts such as poverty profiling, targeting with proxy-means tests, cross-survey imputations such as poverty mapping, top and bottom incomes studies, or…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Paolo Verme

Hunger crises are critical global issues affecting millions, particularly in low-income and developing countries. This research investigates how machine learning can be utilized to predict and inform decisions regarding famine and hunger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Salloni Kapoor , Simeon Sayer

Food security is more prominent on the policy agenda today than it has been in the past, thanks to recent food shortages at both the regional and global levels as well as renewed promises from major donor countries to combat chronic hunger.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Mersha Nigus , Dorsewamy

Machine learning is increasingly used in government programs to identify and support the most vulnerable individuals, prioritizing assistance for those at greatest risk over optimizing aggregate outcomes. This paper examines the welfare…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Unai Fischer-Abaigar , Christoph Kern , Juan Carlos Perdomo

Mapping the spatial distribution of poverty in developing countries remains an important and costly challenge. These "poverty maps" are key inputs for poverty targeting, public goods provision, political accountability, and impact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-20 Boris Babenko , Jonathan Hersh , David Newhouse , Anusha Ramakrishnan , Tom Swartz

When a policy prioritizes one person over another, is it because they benefit more, or because they are preferred? This paper develops a method to uncover the values consistent with observed allocation decisions. We use machine learning…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-03 Daniel Björkegren , Joshua E. Blumenstock , Samsun Knight

Machine learning-based estimates of poverty and wealth are increasingly being used to guide the targeting of humanitarian aid and the allocation of social assistance. However, the ground truth labels used to train these models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Satej Soman , Emily Aiken , Esther Rolf , Joshua Blumenstock

Determining the poverty levels of various regions throughout the world is crucial in identifying interventions for poverty reduction initiatives and directing resources fairly. However, reliable data on global economic livelihoods is hard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Varun Chitturi , Zaid Nabulsi

The prominent inequality of wealth and income is a huge concern especially in the United States. The likelihood of diminishing poverty is one valid reason to reduce the world's surging level of economic inequality. The principle of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Navoneel Chakrabarty , Sanket Biswas

Identifying and addressing poverty is challenging in administrative units with limited information on income distribution and well-being. To overcome this obstacle, small area estimation methods have been developed to provide reliable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Nicolas Frink , Timo Schmid

This paper presents an out-of-sample prediction comparison between major machine learning models and the structural econometric model. Over the past decade, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool in many prediction…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-20 Tzai-Shuen Chen

The Government of Mexico's social development agency, SEDESOL, is responsible for the administration of social services and has the mission of lifting Mexican families out of poverty. One key challenge they face is matching people who have…

This research project explores the optimization of the family selection process for participation in Uruguay's Crece Contigo Family Support Program (PAF) through machine learning. An anonymized database of 15,436 previous referral cases was…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Christian Beron Curti , Rodrigo Vargas Sainz , Yitong Tseo

In this paper, we use deep learning to estimate living conditions in India. We use both census and surveys to train the models. Our procedure achieves comparable results to those found in the literature, but for a wide range of outcomes.

Stroke remains one of the most critical global health challenges, ranking as the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. This study explores the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anastasija Tashkova , Stefan Eftimov , Bojan Ristov , Slobodan Kalajdziski

In many developing nations, a lack of poverty data prevents critical humanitarian organizations from responding to large-scale crises. Currently, socioeconomic surveys are the only method implemented on a large scale for organizations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Om Shah , Krti Tallam

Poverty maps are essential tools for governments and NGOs to track socioeconomic changes and adequately allocate infrastructure and services in places in need. Sensor and online crowd-sourced data combined with machine learning methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Lisette Espín-Noboa , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

Venezuelan banks have historically made credit card limit adjustment decisions manually through committees. However, since the number of credit card holders in Venezuela is expected to increase in the upcoming months due to economic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Diego Pestana , Enrique Areyan Viqueira
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