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We present a class of algorithms for state estimation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach is based on a variational Lagrangian formulation that casts Bayesian inference as a sequence of entropic trust-region updates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Hany Abdulsamad , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Simo Särkkä

Edge-exchangeable probabilistic network models generate edges as an i.i.d.~sequence from a discrete measure, providing a simple means for statistical inference of latent network properties. The measure is often constructed using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Xinglong Li , Trevor Campbell

We present a new balancing-based structure-preserving model reduction technique for linear port-Hamiltonian descriptor systems. The proposed method relies on a modification of a set of two dual generalized algebraic Riccati equations that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Tobias Breiten , Philipp Schulze

We outline a reduction scheme for a class of Brownian dynamics which leads to meaningful corrections to the Smoluchowski equation in the overdamped regime. The mobility coefficient of the reduced dynamics is obtained by exploiting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-19 Matteo Colangeli , Adrian Muntean

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

The problem of controller reduction has a rich history in control theory. Yet, many questions remain open. In particular, there exist very few results on the order reduction of general non-observer based controllers and the subsequent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Zhaolin Ren , Yang Zheng , Maryam Fazel , Na Li

Posterior computation for high-dimensional data with many parameters can be challenging. This article focuses on a new method for approximating posterior distributions of a low- to moderate-dimensional parameter in the presence of a…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

In this paper, we propose a novel truncation method for determining the trace distance between two Gaussian states in fermionic systems. For two fermionic Gaussian states, characterized by their correlation matrices, we consider the von…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-08-23 Jiaju Zhang , M. A. Rajabpour

Motivated by various distributed control applications, we consider a linear system with Gaussian noise observed by multiple sensors which transmit measurements over a dynamic lossy network. We characterize the stationary optimal sensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-11 Hassan Hmedi , Johnson Carroll , Ari Arapostathis

We analyze a family of Runge-Kutta based quadrature algorithms for the approximation of the gramians of linear time invariant dynamical systems. The approximated gramians are used to obtain an approximate balancing transformation similar to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Christian Bertram , Heike Faßbender

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning to control which actions to take towards completing a task through trial-and-error. In many applications observing interactions is costly, necessitating sample-efficient learning. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Charles Gadd , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski

We describe a simple and systematic method for obtaining approximate sensitivity information from a chaotic dynamical system using a hierarchy of cumulant equations. The resulting forward and adjoint systems yield information about…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-26 John Craske

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

In standard balanced truncation model order reduction, the initial condition is typically ignored in the reduction procedure and is assumed to be zero instead. However, such a reduced-order model may be a bad approximation to the full-order…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-16 Christian Schröder , Matthias Voigt

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

In the paper, we present a strategy for accelerating posterior inference for unknown inputs in time fractional diffusion models. In many inference problems, the posterior may be concentrated in a small portion of the entire prior support.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex and large-scale predictive problems. The recent success of deep neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-14 Roy Shivam Ram Shreshtth , Arnab Hazra , Gourab Mukherjee

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

Introducing inequality constraints in Gaussian process (GP) models can lead to more realistic uncertainties in learning a great variety of real-world problems. We consider the finite-dimensional Gaussian approach from Maatouk and Bay (2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Olivier Roustant
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