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Related papers: Generalizing Clinical Trials with Convex Hulls

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There is a fast-growing literature on estimating optimal treatment rules directly by maximizing the expected outcome. In biomedical studies and operations applications, censored survival outcome is frequently observed, in which case the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Yifan Cui , Junyi Liu , Tao Shen , Zhengling Qi , Xi Chen

Causal inferences from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) may not pertain to a target population where some effect modifiers have a different distribution. Prior work studies generalizing the results of a trial to a target population with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Ilker Demirel , Ahmed Alaa , Anthony Philippakis , David Sontag

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Trial findings are often used to inform policy and programming efforts, yet their results may not generalize well to a relevant target population due to…

Personalized medicine has received increasing attention among statisticians, computer scientists, and clinical practitioners. A major component of personalized medicine is the estimation of individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-14 Xin Zhou , Nicole Mayer-Hamblett , Umer Khan , Michael R. Kosorok

It is increasingly common to augment randomized controlled trial with external controls from observational data, to evaluate the treatment effect of an intervention. Traditional approaches to treatment effect estimation involve ambiguous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Bo Liu , Laine Thomas , Rury R. Holman , Fan Li

Recently, motivated by the rapid increase of the data size in various applications, Monemizadeh [APPROX'23] and Driemel, Monemizadeh, Oh, Staals, and Woodruff [SoCG'25] studied geometric problems in the setting where the only access to the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-03-24 T. Schibler , J. Xue , J. Zhu

The estimation of causal treatment effects from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference. To avoid bias, the effect estimator must control for all confounders. Hence practitioners often collect data for as many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz-Rogozhnikov , Karthik Shanmugam

Sampling biases in training data are a major source of algorithmic biases in machine learning systems. Although there are many methods that attempt to mitigate such algorithmic biases during training, the most direct and obvious way is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-15 Laura Niss , Yuekai Sun , Ambuj Tewari

While sample sizes in randomized clinical trials are large enough to estimate the average treatment effect well, they are often insufficient for estimation of treatment-covariate interactions critical to studying data-driven precision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-22 Steve Yadlowsky , Fabio Pellegrini , Federica Lionetto , Stefan Braune , Lu Tian

Studies often report estimates of the average treatment effect. While the ATE summarizes the effect of a treatment on average, it does not provide any information about the effect of treatment within any individual. A treatment strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-13 Nicholas T. Williams , Katherine L. Hoffman Iván Díaz , Kara E. Rudolph

Computationally efficient and automated generation of convex hulls is desirable for high throughput materials discovery of thermodynamically stable multi-species crystal structures. A convex hull genetic algorithm is proposed that uses…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-04-23 Scott Donaldson , Robert A. Lawrence , Matt I. J. Probert

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

While randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating causal treatment effects, their limited sample sizes and restrictive criteria make it difficult to extrapolate to a broader population. Observational data, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Stephanie Riley , Ricardo Silva , Matthew Sperrin

Finding the coordinate-wise maxima and the convex hull of a planar point set are probably the most classic problems in computational geometry. We consider these problems in the self-improving setting. Here, we have $n$ distributions…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Kenneth L. Clarkson , Wolfgang Mulzer , C. Seshadhri

Identifying patient subgroups with different treatment responses is an important task to inform medical recommendations, guidelines, and the design of future clinical trials. Existing approaches for treatment effect estimation primarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Vincent Jeanselme , Chang Ho Yoon , Fabian Falck , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Estimating the Individual Treatment Effect from observational data, defined as the difference between outcomes with and without treatment or intervention, while observing just one of both, is a challenging problems in causal learning. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Céline Beji , Michaël Bon , Florian Yger , Jamal Atif

With increasing data availability, causal effects can be evaluated across different data sets, both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. RCTs isolate the effect of the treatment from that of unwanted (confounding)…

Time plays a fundamental role in causal analyses, where the goal is to quantify the effect of a specific treatment on future outcomes. In a randomized experiment, times of treatment, and when outcomes are observed, are typically well…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-19 Guillaume W. Basse , Alexander Volfovsky , Edoardo M. Airoldi

This paper introduces a simple efficient learning algorithms for general sequential decision making. The algorithm combines Optimism for exploration with Maximum Likelihood Estimation for model estimation, which is thus named OMLE. We prove…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Qinghua Liu , Praneeth Netrapalli , Csaba Szepesvári , Chi Jin

Precision medicine is of considerable interest in clinical, academic and regulatory parties. The key to precision medicine is the optimal treatment regime. Recently, Zhou et al. (2017) developed residual weighted learning (RWL) to construct…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-30 Xin Zhou , Michael R. Kosorok