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Accurate models of patient survival probabilities provide important information to clinicians prescribing care for life-threatening and terminal ailments. A recently developed class of models - known as individual survival distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Samuel Sokota , Ryan D'Orazio , Khurram Javed , Humza Haider , Russell Greiner

We propose a novel approach for estimating mean survival time in the presence of censored data, in which we divide the population under study into survival-ordered fractions defined by a set of proportions, and compute the mean survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Celia García-Pareja , Matteo Bottai

Many clinical studies evaluate the benefit of a treatment based on both survival and other continuous/ordinal clinical outcomes, such as Quality of Life scores. In these studies, when subjects die before the follow-up assessment, the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-06 Qingyan Xiang , Ronald J. Bosch , Judith J. Lok

Estimating the causal effect of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes is a challenging task in many domains, particularly in medicine where treatment protocols adapt over time. While recent advances in representation learning have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Ayoub Abraich

Multi-state survival analysis (MSA) uses multi-state models for the analysis of time-to-event data. In medical applications, MSA can provide insights about the complex disease progression in patients. A key challenge in MSA is the accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Md Mahmudur Rahman , Sanjay Purushotham

This paper introduces new effect parameters for factorial survival designs with possibly right-censored time-to-event data. In the special case of a two-sample design it coincides with the concordance or Wilcoxon parameter in survival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

The restricted mean survival time is a clinically easy-to-interpret measure that does not require any assumption of proportional hazards. We focus on two ways to directly model the survival time and adjust the covariates. One is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 Keisuke Hanada , Junji Moriya , Masahiro Kojima

Researchers are often interested in treatment effects on outcomes that are only defined conditional on a post-treatment event status. For example, in a study of the effect of different cancer treatments on quality of life at end of…

In cancer epidemiology, the \emph{relative survival framework} is used to quantify the hazard associated with cancer by comparing the all-cause mortality hazard in cancer patients to that of the general population. This framework assumes…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-05 Piyali Basak , Antonio R. Linero , Camille Maringe , F. Javier Rubio

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

Many clinical studies require the follow-up of patients over time. This is challenging: apart from frequently observed drop-out, there are often also organizational and financial challenges, which can lead to reduced data collection and, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Fateme Nateghi Haredasht , Celine Vens

Complex data features, such as unmodelled censored event times and variables with time-dependent effects, are common in cancer recurrence studies and pose challenges for Bayesian survival modelling. Current methodologies for predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Saku Suorsa , Aki Vehtari

In observational studies of survival time featuring a binary time-dependent treatment, the hazard ratio (an instantaneous measure) is often used to represent the treatment effect. However, investigators are often more interested in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-21 Yun Li , Douglas E. Schaubel , Kevin He

Here, we explain and illustrate a geometric perspective on causal inference in cohort studies that can help epidemiologists understand the role of standardization in causal inference as well as the distinctions between confounding, effect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Eben Kenah

With the long-term rapid increase in incidences of colorectal cancer (CRC), there is an urgent clinical need to improve risk stratification. The conventional pathology report is usually limited to only a few histopathological features.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-08 Christian Abbet , Inti Zlobec , Behzad Bozorgtabar , Jean-Philippe Thiran

Crossing survival curves complicate how we interpret results from a clinical trial's primary endpoint. We find the function to determine a crossing point's location depends exponentially on individual survival curves. This exponential…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-09 Thomas McAndrew , Bjorn Redfors , Yiran Zhang , Aaron Crowley , Shmuel Chen , Gregg Stone , Paul Jenkins

Advances in survival analysis have facilitated unprecedented flexibility in data modeling, yet there remains a lack of tools for graphically illustrating the influence of continuous covariates on predicted survival outcomes. We propose the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Yushu Shi , Liangliang Zhang , Kim-Anh Do , Robert R. Jenq , Christine B. Peterson

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool for modeling time-to-event outcomes in healthcare. Recent advances have introduced flexible neural network approaches for improved predictive performance. However, most of these models do not provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-10 Mert Ketenci , Vincent Jeanselme , Harry Reyes Nieva , Shalmali Joshi , Noémie Elhadad

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shi-ang Qi , Neeraj Kumar , Mahtab Farrokh , Weijie Sun , Li-Hao Kuan , Rajesh Ranganath , Ricardo Henao , Russell Greiner

Increasingly, medical research is dependent on data collected for non-research purposes, such as electronic health records data (EHR). EHR data and other large databases can be prone to measurement error in key exposures, and unadjusted…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Kyunghee Han , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw
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