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The aim of this paper is to introduce a synthetic ALM model that catches the main specificity of life insurance contracts. First, it keeps track of both market and book values to apply the regulatory profit sharing rule. Second, it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-05 Aurélien Alfonsi , Adel Cherchali , Jose Arturo Infante Acevedo

I present a novel mathematical technique for dealing with the infinities arising from divergent sums and integrals. It assigns them fine-grained infinite values from the set of hyperreal numbers in a manner that refines the standard…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Toby Ord

Multiplicative self-decomposable laws describe random variables that can be decomposed into a product of a scaled-down version of themselves and an independent residual term. Shanbhag et al.~(1977) have shown that the gamma distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 José Luís da Silva , Mohamed Erraoui

When the available statistical information is imperfect, it is dangerous to follow standard optimisation procedures to construct an optimal portfolio, which usually leads to a strong concentration of the weights on very few assets. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters , Jean-Pierre Aguilar

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

We study an asset allocation stochastic problem with restriction for a defined-contribution pension plan during the accumulation phase. We consider a financial market with stochastic interest rate, composed of a risk-free asset, a real zero…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-23 Calisto Guambe , Rodwell Kufakunesu , Gusti Van Zyl , Conrad Beyers

This paper describes the structure of optimal policies for discounted periodic-review single-commodity total-cost inventory control problems with fixed ordering costs for finite and infinite horizons. There are known conditions in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Yan Liang

In general insurance companies, a correct estimation of liabilities plays a key role due to its impact on management and investing decisions. Since the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 and the strengthening of regulation, the focus is not only…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

In this paper, we establish a sum rule that connects the pseudoentropy and entanglement entropy of a superposition state. Through analytical continuation of the superposition parameter, we demonstrate that the transition matrix and density…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2024-06-12 Wu-zhong Guo , Yao-zong Jiang , Jin Xu

Autocalibration is known to be an important requirement for insurance premiums since it guarantees that premium income balances corresponding claims, on average, not only at portfolio level but also inside each group paying similar…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-18 Michel Denuit , Marie Michaelides , Julien Trufin

It has been decades since the academic world of ruin theory defined the insolvency of an insurance company as the time when its surplus falls below zero. This simplification, however, needs careful adaptions to imitate the real-world…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-06 Aili Zhang , Ping Chen , Shuanming Li , Wenyuan Wang

Extant literature on fair pricing methods for actuarial contexts has primarily focused on the regression setting. While such approaches are well-suited to short-term products, it is unclear how they generalize to long-term products, whose…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-05 Hong Beng Lim , Mengyi Xu , Kenneth Q. Zhou

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-02 Dhiti Osatakul , Shuanming Li , Xueyuan Wu

This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Niushan Gao , Cosimo Munari

The premise of industrial symbiosis IS is that advancing a circular economy that reuses byproducts as inputs in production is valuable for the environment. We challenge this premise in a simple model. Ceteris paribus, IS is an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-14 Limor Hatsor , Artyom Jelnov

Attribution methods in explainable AI rely on upsampling techniques that were designed for natural images, not saliency maps. Standard bilinear and bicubic interpolation systematically corrupts attribution signals through aliasing, ringing,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Vincenzo Buono , Peyman Sheikholharam Mashhadi , Mahmoud Rahat , Prayag Tiwari , Stefan Byttner

In multi-state life insurance, an adequate balance between analytic tractability, computational efficiency, and statistical flexibility is of great importance. This might explain the popularity of Markov chain modelling, where matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt , Christian Furrer

Importance sampling (IS) is a popular technique in off-policy evaluation, which re-weights the return of trajectories in the replay buffer to boost sample efficiency. However, training with IS can be unstable and previous attempts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chengyang Ying , Zhongkai Hao , Xinning Zhou , Hang Su , Dong Yan , Jun Zhu

This work proposes a non-iterative strategy for missing value imputations which is guided by similarity between observations, but instead of explicitly determining distances or nearest neighbors, it assigns observations to overlapping…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-25 David Cortes

Default risk calculus plays a crucial role in portfolio optimization when the risky asset is under threat of bankruptcy. However, traditional stochastic control techniques are not applicable in this scenario, and additional assumptions are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 José A. Salmerón , Giulia Di Nunno , Bernardo D'Auria
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