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Progress of the COVID-19 pandemic was quantified, in the first instance, using the daily number of positive cases recorded by the national public health authorities. Averaged over a seven-day window, the daily incidence of COVID-19 in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Derek Marsh

In order to slow the spread of the CoViD-19 pandemic, governments around the world have enacted a wide set of policies limiting the transmission of the disease. Initially, these focused on non-pharmaceutical interventions; more recently,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Janoś Gabler , Tobias Raabe , Klara Röhrl , Hans-Martin von Gaudecker

Aims: Nonpharmaceutical interventions against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Germany included the cancellation of mass events (from March 8), closures of schools and child day care facilities (from March 16) as well as a "lockdown" (from March…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-27 Thomas Wieland

Given limited supply of approved vaccines and constrained medical resources, design of a vaccination strategy to control a pandemic is an economic problem. We use time-series and panel methods with real-world country-level data to estimate…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-19 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence COVID-19 in Europe. The future challenges and developments will…

In this position paper, a large group of interdisciplinary experts outlines response strategies against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the winter of 2021/2022 in Germany. We review the current state of the COVID-19 pandemic, from incidence and…

Background: There is uncertainty about the role of different age groups in propagating the SARS-CoV-2 epidemics in different countries. Methods: We used the Koch Institute data on COVID-19 cases in Germany. To minimize the effect of changes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Edward Goldstein

Since the primary mode of respiratory virus transmission is person-to-person interaction, we are required to reconsider physical interaction patterns to mitigate the number of people infected with COVID-19. While research has shown that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-01 Cornelius Fritz , Göran Kauermann

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major disturbance to human life. An important reason behind the widespread social anxiety is the huge uncertainty about the pandemic. A fundamental uncertainty is how many or what percentage of people have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-04 Donghui Yan , Ying Xu , Pei Wang

Countries around the world implement nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Design of efficient NPIs requires identification of the structure of the disease transmission network. We here identify the key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Simon Syga , Diana David-Rus , Yannik Schälte , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Andreas Deutsch

Vaccines are among the most powerful tools used to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. They are highly effective against infection and substantially reduce the risk of severe disease, hospitalization, ICU admission, and death. However, their…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-07 Marc Wiedermann , Annika H. Rose , Benjamin F. Maier , Jakob J. Kolb , David Hinrichs , Dirk Brockmann

Since the beginning of March 2020, the cumulative numbers of cases of infection with the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in Germany have been reported on a daily basis. The reports originate from national laws, according to which positive test…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-08 Ralph Brinks , Annika Hoyer

In late 2019, the gravest pandemic in a century began spreading across the world. A state of uncertainty related to what has become known as SARS-CoV-2 has since fueled conspiracy narratives on social media about the origin, transmission…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Morteza Shahrezaye , Miriam Meckel , Léa Steinacker , Viktor Suter

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

This article is a reproduction of a Fraunhofer ITWM report from 28 June 2021 on the contribution of various non-pharmaceutical measures in breaking the 3rd Corona wave in Germany. The main finding is that testing contributed more to the…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-13 Jan Mohring , Michael Burger , Robert Feßler , Jochen Fiedler , Neele Leithäuser , Johanna Schneider , Michael Speckert , Jaroslaw Wlazlo

The Covid-19 pandemic still causes severe impacts on society and the economy. This paper studies excess mortality during the pandemic years 2020 and 2021 in Germany empirically with a special focus on the life insurer's perspective. Our…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-21 Alois Pichler , Dana Uhlig

We propose a simple rule of thumb for countries which have embarked on a vaccination campaign while still facing the need to keep non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) in place because of the ongoing spread of SARS-CoV-2. If the aim is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-27 Claudius Gros , Thomas Czypionka , Daniel Gros

A second wave of SARS-CoV-2 is unfolding in dozens of countries. However, this second wave manifests itself strongly in new reported cases, but less in death counts compared to the first wave. Over the past three months in Germany, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Matthias Linden , Jonas Dehning , Sebastian B. Mohr , Jan Mohring , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Iris Pigeot , Anita Schöbel , Viola Priesemann

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused over 6.4 million registered deaths to date and has had a profound impact on economic activity. Here, we study the interaction of transmission, mortality, and the economy during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic from…

Background: There is a lack of population-based studies on the effectiveness and durability of the SARS-CoV-2-induced immune protection during the Omicron wave. Methods: This retrospective study included 470 159 cases aged 60 years or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-16 Maximilian Weigert , Andreas Beyerlein , Katharina Katz , Rickmer Schulte , Wolfgang Hartl , Helmut Küchenhoff
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