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A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

Materials data, especially those related to high-temperature properties, pose significant challenges for machine learning models due to extreme skewness, wide feature ranges, modality, and complex relationships. While traditional models…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-09-22 Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

The paper presents Imbalance-XGBoost, a Python package that combines the powerful XGBoost software with weighted and focal losses to tackle binary label-imbalanced classification tasks. Though a small-scale program in terms of size, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Chen Wang , Chengyuan Deng , Suzhen Wang

This paper investigates the integration of machine learning forecasts of intervention durations into a stochastic variant of the Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (CVRPTW). In particular, we exploit tree-based gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Matteo Garbelli

Needless to say, linear dynamics are pervasive in economic time series, particularly autoregressive ones. While gradient boosting with trees excels at capturing nonlinearities, it is inefficient in small samples when much of the predictive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Effective demand forecasting is critical for inventory management, production planning, and decision making across industries. Selecting the appropriate model and suitable features to efficiently capture patterns in the data is one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ivan Svetunkov , Anna Sroginis

Travel time is a crucial measure in transportation. Accurate travel time prediction is also fundamental for operation and advanced information systems. A variety of solutions exist for short-term travel time predictions such as solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Jihed Khiari , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

This project aims to predict short-term and long-term upward trends in the S&P 500 index using machine learning models and feature engineering based on the "101 Formulaic Alphas" methodology. The study employed multiple models, including…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-17 Shasha Yu , Qinchen Zhang , Yuwei Zhao

Predicting the success of startup companies is of great importance for both startup companies and investors. It is difficult due to the lack of available data and appropriate general methods. With data platforms like Crunchbase aggregating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Dafei Yin , Jing Li , Gaosheng Wu

This paper compares the performance of various data processing methods in terms of predictive performance for structured data. This paper also seeks to identify and recommend preprocessing methodologies for tree-based binary classification…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Tosan Johnson , Alice J. Liu , Syed Raza , Aaron McGuire

Online leading has disrupted the traditional consumer banking sector with more effective loan processing. Risk prediction and monitoring is critical for the success of the business model. Traditional credit score models fall short in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Xiaojiao Yu

Most decision-focused learning work has focused on single stage problems whereas many real-world decision problems are more appropriately modelled using multistage optimisation. In multistage problems contextual information is revealed over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Egon Peršak , Miguel F. Anjos

Demand forecasting in the online fashion industry is particularly amendable to global, data-driven forecasting models because of the industry's set of particular challenges. These include the volume of data, the irregularity, the high…

In this paper we investigate to what extent long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs) are suitable for demand forecasting in the e-grocery retail sector. For this purpose, univariate as well as multivariate LSTM-based models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Marta Gołąbek , Robin Senge , Rainer Neumann

Traffic forecasting is vital for Intelligent Transportation Systems, for which Machine Learning (ML) methods have been extensively explored to develop data-driven Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions. Recent research focuses on modelling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Xiao Zheng , Saeed Asadi Bagloee , Majid Sarvi

Intermittency is a common and challenging problem in demand forecasting. We introduce a new, unified framework for building intermittent demand forecasting models, which incorporates and allows to generalize existing methods in several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Ali Caner Turkmen , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Ali Taylan Cemgil

Forecasting product demand in retail supply chains presents a complex challenge due to noisy, heterogeneous features and rapidly shifting consumer behavior. While traditional gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) offer strong predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yadi Liu , Xiaoli Ma , Muxin Ge , Zeyu Han , Jingxi Qiu , Ye Aung Moe , Yilan Shen , Wenbin Wei , Cheng Huang

We consider a robust version of the revenue maximization problem, where a single seller wishes to sell $n$ items to a single unit-demand buyer. In this robust version, the seller knows the buyer's marginal value distribution for each item…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Moshe Babaioff , Michal Feldman , Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Brendan Lucier , Inbal Talgam-Cohen