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Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has garnered considerable attention over the past decade. However, the standard GP with a preliminary kernel, such as the squared exponential kernel or Mat\'{e}rn kernel, that is commonly used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Zhid Lin , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

The Dynamical Graph Grammar (DGG) formalism can describe complex system dynamics with graphs that are mapped into a master equation. An exact stochastic simulation algorithm may be used, but it is slow for large systems. To overcome this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-16 Eric Medwedeff , Eric Mjolsness

Fast development in science and technology has driven the need for proper statistical tools to capture special data features such as abrupt changes or sharp contrast. Many inverse problems in data science require spatiotemporal solutions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Shiwei Lan , Mirjeta Pasha , Shuyi Li , Weining Shen

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes that combine well calibrated uncertainty estimates with the high flexibility of multilayer models. One of the biggest challenges with these models is that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-13 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

It is desirable to combine the expressive power of deep learning with Gaussian Process (GP) in one expressive Bayesian learning model. Deep kernel learning showed success in adopting a deep network for feature extraction followed by a GP…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

The discovery of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) is an essential task for applied science and engineering. However, data-driven discovery of PDEs is generally challenging, primarily stemming from the sensitivity of the discovered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-27 Aoxue Chen , Yifan Du , Liyao Mars Gao , Guang Lin

We introduce a new class of spatially stochastic physics and data informed deep latent models for parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) which operate through scalable variational neural processes. We achieve this by assigning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Yanni Papandreou , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz

We introduce data structures for solving robust regression through stochastic gradient descent (SGD) by sampling gradients with probability proportional to their norm, i.e., importance sampling. Although SGD is widely used for large scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Sepideh Mahabadi , David P. Woodruff , Samson Zhou

We define Recurrent Gaussian Processes (RGP) models, a general family of Bayesian nonparametric models with recurrent GP priors which are able to learn dynamical patterns from sequential data. Similar to Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs),…

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian models for regression of scalar fields, formulated under the assumption that measurement locations are perfectly known and the corresponding field measurements have Gaussian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Kyle Volle , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

The next generation of Department of Energy supercomputers will be capable of exascale computation. For these machines, far more computation will be possible than that which can be saved to disk. As a result, users will be unable to rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Michael Grosskopf , Kellin Rumsey , Ayan Biswas , Earl Lawrence

Let $P$ be a linear differential operator over $\mathcal{D} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and $U = (U_x)_{x \in \mathcal{D}}$ a second order stochastic process. In the first part of this article, we prove a new necessary and sufficient condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

This work introduces the Gaussian integration to address a smoothing problem of a nonlinear stochastic state space model. The probability densities of states at each time instant are assumed to be Gaussian, and their means and covariances…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-14 Rohit Kumar Singh , Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

Spatial-temporal Gaussian process regression is a popular method for spatial-temporal data modeling. Its state-of-art implementation is based on the state-space model realization of the spatial-temporal Gaussian process and its…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-27 Junpeng Zhang , Yue Ju , Biqiang Mu , Renxin Zhong , Tianshi Chen

This paper proposes an online learning method of Gaussian process state-space model (GP-SSM). GP-SSM is a probabilistic representation learning scheme that represents unknown state transition and/or measurement models as Gaussian processes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Soon-Seo Park , Young-Jin Park , Youngjae Min , Han-Lim Choi

The successes of modern deep machine learning methods are founded on their ability to transform inputs across multiple layers to build good high-level representations. It is therefore critical to understand this process of representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Adam X. Yang , Maxime Robeyns , Edward Milsom , Ben Anson , Nandi Schoots , Laurence Aitchison