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The use of `backfilling', assigning additional patients to doses deemed safe, in phase I dose-escalation studies has been used in practice to collect additional information on the safety profile, pharmacokinetics and activity of a drug.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-22 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

Accurate models of clinical actions and their impacts on disease progression are critical for estimating personalized optimal dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) in medical/health research, especially in managing chronic conditions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 William Hua , Hongyuan Mei , Sarah Zohar , Magali Giral , Yanxun Xu

In parametric Bayesian designs of early phase cancer clinical trials with drug combinations exploring a discrete set of partially ordered doses, several authors claimed that there is no added value in including an interaction term to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-12 Mourad Tighiouart , José L. Jiménez , Marcio A. Diniz , André Rogatko

The effects of molecularly targeted drug perturbations on cellular activities and fates are difficult to predict using intuition alone because of the complex behaviors of cellular regulatory networks. An approach to overcoming this problem…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Afroza Shirin , Isaac Klickstein , Song Feng , Yen Ting Lin , William S. Hlavacek , Francesco Sorrentino

Clinical trials are an indispensable part of the drug development process, bridging the gap between basic research and clinical application. During the development of new drugs, clinical trials are used not only to evaluate the safety and…

Understanding the factors that trigger or prevent undesirable health outcomes across patient subpopulations is essential for designing targeted interventions. While randomized controlled trials and expert-led patient interviews are standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Shishir Adhikari , Guido Muscioni , Mark Shapiro , Plamen Petrov , Elena Zheleva

Accurate and robust prediction of drug-target interactions (DTIs) plays a vital role in drug discovery. Despite extensive efforts have been invested in predicting novel DTIs, existing approaches still suffer from insufficient labeled data…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-27 Zhangli Lu , Chuqi Lei , Kaili Wang , Libo Qin , Jing Tang , Min Li

Purpose: During discussions at the Data Science Roundtable meeting in Japan, there were instances where the adoption of the BOIN design was declined, attributed to the extension of study duration and increased sample size in comparison to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-19 Masahiro Kojima , Wu Wende , Henry Zhao

The primary objective of phase I oncology studies is to establish the safety profile of a new treatment and determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). This is motivated by the development of cytotoxic agents based on the underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-10 Yiding Zhang , Zhixing Xu , Hui Quan , Ji Lin

Domain-aware machine learning (ML) models have been increasingly adopted for accelerating small molecule therapeutic design in the recent years. These models have been enabled by significant advancement in state-of-the-art artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Rajendra P. Joshi , Neeraj Kumar

In many clinical trials, individuals in different subgroups have experience differential treatment effects. This leads to individualized differences in treatment benefit. In this article, we introduce the general concept of predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Debashis Ghosh , Youngjoo Cho

In learning-phase clinical trials in drug development, adaptive designs can be efficient and highly informative when used appropriately. In this article, we extend the multiple comparison procedures with modeling techniques (MCP-Mod)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Shiyang Ma , Michael P. McDermott

Recently, the strategy for dose optimization in oncology has shifted to conduct Phase 2 randomized controlled trials with multiple doses. Optimal biologic dose selection from Phase 1 trial data to determine candidate doses for Phase 2…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 Masahiro Kojima

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in early-stage drug discovery offers unprecedented opportunities for exploring chemical space and accelerating hit-to-lead optimization. However, docking optimization in generative approaches…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-03 Ekaterina Podplutova , Anastasia Vepreva , Olga A. Konovalova , Vladimir Vinogradov , Dmitrii O. Shkil , Andrei Dmitrenko

Cancer and healthy cells have distinct distributions of molecular properties and thus respond differently to drugs. Cancer drugs ideally kill cancer cells while limiting harm to healthy cells. However, the inherent variance among cells in…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-07 Patrick N. Lawlor , Tomer Kalisky , Stephen Quake , Robert Rosner , Marsha Rich Rosner , Konrad P. Kording

Drug development is an expensive and time-consuming process where thousands of chemical compounds are being tested in order to find those possessing drug-like properties while being safe and effective. One of key parts of the early drug…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Josip Mesarić

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

Adaptive designs for clinical trials permit alterations to a study in response to accumulating data in order to make trials more flexible, ethical and efficient. These benefits are achieved while preserving the integrity and validity of the…

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) released a landmark draft guidance in January 2026 on the use of Bayesian methodology to support primary inference in clinical trials of drugs and biological products. For sponsors, the central…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-22 Yuan Ji , Ph. D