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Marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) in item response theory (IRT) is highly sensitive to aberrant responses, such as careless answering and random guessing, which can reduce estimation accuracy. To address this issue, this study…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yuki Itaya , Kenichi Hayashi

While local basis function (LBF) estimation algorithms, commonly used for identifying/tracking systems with time-varying parameters, demonstrate good performance under the assumption of normally distributed measurement noise, the estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Maciej Niedźwiecki , Artur Gańcza , Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith

We provide a novel -- and to the best of our knowledge, the first -- algorithm for high dimensional sparse regression with constant fraction of corruptions in explanatory and/or response variables. Our algorithm recovers the true sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Liu Liu , Yanyao Shen , Tianyang Li , Constantine Caramanis

This paper introduces a novel variational Bayesian method that integrates Tucker decomposition for efficient high-dimensional inverse problem solving. The method reduces computational complexity by transforming variational inference from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Qing-Mei Yang , Da-Qing Zhang

In many important applications of precision medicine, the outcome of interest is time to an event (e.g., death, relapse of disease) and the primary goal is to identify the optimal individualized decision rule (IDR) to prolong survival time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Yu Zhou , Lan Wang , Rui Song , Tuoyi Zhao

The optimal control input for linear systems can be solved from algebraic Riccati equation (ARE), from which it remains questionable to get the form of the exact solution. In engineering, the acceptable numerical solutions of ARE can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-07 Shengbo Wang , Shiping Wen , Kaibo Shi , Song Zhu , Tingwen Huang

While robust divergence such as density power divergence and $\gamma$-divergence is helpful for robust statistical inference in the presence of outliers, the tuning parameter that controls the degree of robustness is chosen in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shouto Yonekura

This paper proposes a nonlinear estimator for the robust reconstruction of process and sensor faults for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed fault estimation method augments the system dynamics with an ultra-local (in time)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

The estimation of model parameters with uncertainties from observed data is a ubiquitous inverse problem in science and engineering. In this paper, we suggest an inexpensive and easy to implement parameter estimation technique that uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Ushnish Sengupta , Maximilian L. Croci , Matthew P. Juniper

When using the finite element method (FEM) in inverse problems, its discretization error can produce parameter estimates that are inaccurate and overconfident. The Bayesian finite element method (BFEM) provides a probabilistic model for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Anne Poot , Iuri Rocha , Pierre Kerfriden , Frans van der Meer

We study semiparametric inference in some linear regression models with time-varying coefficients, dependent regressors and dependent errors. This problem, which has been considered recently by Zhang and Wu (2012) under the functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-19 Lionel Truquet

Time-varying parameters (TVPs) models are frequently used in economics to capture structural change. I highlight a rather underutilized fact -- that these are actually ridge regressions. Instantly, this makes computations, tuning, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Regularization methods allow one to handle a variety of inferential problems where there are more covariates than cases. This allows one to consider a potentially enormous number of covariates for a problem. We exploit the power of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-03 Yoonkyung Lee , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

We develop a new approach to robust adaptive beamforming in the presence of signal steering vector errors. Since the signal steering vector is known imprecisely, its presumed (prior) value is used to find a more accurate estimate of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-05-15 Arash Khabbazibasmenj , Sergiy A. Vorobyov , Aboulnasr Hassanien

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

Conditional differential entropy provides an intuitive measure for relatively ranking time-series complexity by quantifying uncertainty in future observations given past context. However, its direct computation for high-dimensional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Jacob Ayers , Richard Hahnloser , Julia Ulrich , Lothar Sebastian Krapp , Remo Nitschke , Sabine Stoll , Balthasar Bickel , Reinhard Furrer

This paper addresses differential inference in time-varying parametric probabilistic models, like graphical models with changing structures. Instead of estimating a high-dimensional model at each time point and estimating changes later, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daniel J. Williams , Leyang Wang , Qizhen Ying , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures utilize test statistics constructed by resampling in a manner that does not depend on the unknown correlation structure of the data. We prove that…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-26 Michael P. Leung

We consider the problem of tracking an unknown time varying parameter that characterizes the probabilistic evolution of a sequence of independent observations. To this aim, we propose a stochastic gradient descent-based recursive scheme in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria