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Related papers: Weight Pruning and Uncertainty in Radio Galaxy Cla…

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In this work we use variational inference to quantify the degree of uncertainty in deep learning model predictions of radio galaxy classification. We show that the level of model posterior variance for individual test samples is correlated…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 Devina Mohan , Anna M. M. Scaife , Fiona Porter , Mike Walmsley , Micah Bowles

The radio astronomy community is rapidly adopting deep learning techniques to deal with the huge data volumes expected from the next generation of radio observatories. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a principled way to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Devina Mohan , Anna M. M. Scaife

Recent work has observed that one can outperform exact inference in Bayesian neural networks by tuning the "temperature" of the posterior on a validation set (the "cold posterior" effect). To help interpret this phenomenon, we argue that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-04 Ben Adlam , Jasper Snoek , Samuel L. Smith

We investigate the problem of weight uncertainty originally proposed by [Blundell et al. (2015). Weight uncertainty in neural networks. In International conference on machine learning, 1613-1622, PMLR.] in the context of neural networks…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Moein Monemi , Morteza Amini , S. Mahmoud Taheri , Mohammad Arashi

Uncertainty quantification in reinforcement learning can greatly improve exploration and robustness. Approximate Bayesian approaches have recently been popularized to quantify uncertainty in model-free algorithms. However, so far the focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Pascal R. van der Vaart , Neil Yorke-Smith , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

The radio astronomy community is adopting deep learning techniques to deal with the huge data volumes expected from the next-generation of radio observatories. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a principled way to model uncertainty in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-15 Devina Mohan , Anna Scaife

Aleatoric uncertainty captures the inherent randomness of the data, such as measurement noise. In Bayesian regression, we often use a Gaussian observation model, where we control the level of aleatoric uncertainty with a noise variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Sanyam Kapoor , Wesley J. Maddox , Pavel Izmailov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

The unmatched ability of Deep Neural Networks in capturing complex patterns in large and noisy datasets is often associated with their large hypothesis space, and consequently to the vast amount of parameters that characterize model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Enrico Ballini , Luca Muscarnera , Alessio Fumagalli , Anna Scotti , Francesco Regazzoni

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Bayesian inference can quantify uncertainty in the predictions of neural networks using posterior distributions for model parameters and network output. By looking at these posterior distributions, one can separate the origin of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 H. Linander , O. Balabanov , H. Yang , B. Mehlig

Pruning - that is, setting a significant subset of the parameters of a neural network to zero - is one of the most popular methods of model compression. Yet, several recent works have raised the issue that pruning may induce or exacerbate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Eugenia Iofinova , Alexandra Peste , Dan Alistarh

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

Data uncertainty in practical person reID is ubiquitous, hence it requires not only learning the discriminative features, but also modeling the uncertainty based on the input. This paper proposes to learn the sample posterior and the class…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Yan Zhang , Zhilin Zheng , Binyu He , Li Sun

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

In the context of radio galaxy classification, most state-of-the-art neural network algorithms have been focused on single survey data. The question of whether these trained algorithms have cross-survey identification ability or can be…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Hongming Tang , Anna M. M. Scaife , J. P. Leahy

We focus on using the predictive uncertainty signal calculated by Bayesian neural networks to guide learning in the self-same task the model is being trained on. Not opting for costly Monte Carlo sampling of weights, we propagate the…

Model calibration is essential for ensuring that the predictions of deep neural networks accurately reflect true probabilities in real-world classification tasks. However, deep networks often produce over-confident or under-confident…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Jinxu Lin , Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Context. Arrays of radio antennas have proven to be successful in astroparticle physics with the observation of extensive air showers initiated by high-energy cosmic rays in the Earth's atmosphere. Accurate determination of the energy scale…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-08 M. Büsken , T. Fodran , T. Huege

We consider the shape of the posterior distribution to be used when fitting cosmological models to power spectra measured from galaxy surveys. At very large scales, Gaussian posterior distributions in the power do not approximate the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-25 Benedict Bahr-Kalus , Will J. Percival , Lado Samushia
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