Related papers: Pricing cryptocurrencies : Modelling the ETHBTC sp…
Oil price data have a complicated multi-scale structure that may vary with time. We use time-frequency analysis to identify the main features of these variations and, in particular, the regime shifts. The analysis is based on a…
We use the statistical properties of Shannon entropy estimator and Kullback-Leibler divergence to study the predictability of ultra-high frequency financial data. We develop a statistical test for the predictability of a sequence based on…
The recent emergence of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum has posed possible alternatives to global payments as well as financial assets around the globe, making investors and financial regulators aware of the importance of…
We analytically describe the decay to equilibrium of generic observables of a non-integrable system after a perturbation in the form of a random matrix. We further obtain an analytic form for the time-averaged fluctuations of an observable…
Despite being described as a medium of exchange, cryptocurrencies do not have the typical attributes of a medium of exchange. Consequently, cryptocurrencies are more appropriately described as crypto assets. A common investment attribute…
As the pioneer of blockchain technology, Bitcoin is the most popular cryptocurrency to date. Given its dramatic price spikes (and crashes) along with the never-ending news from SEC regulations to security breaches, there seems to be a lack…
Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $\{X_t,\,t\geq 0\}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ described by $d X_t=-\theta X_t dt+ d B_t^H,\, X_0=0$ with known parameter $H\in (0,\frac34)$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh,…
The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…
We consider a class of time-homogeneous diffusion processes on $\mathbb{R}^{n}$ with common invariant measure but varying volatility matrices. In Euclidean space, we show via stochastic control of the diffusion coefficient that the…
We study the Dyson-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process, an evolving gas of interacting particles. Its invariant law is the beta Hermite ensemble of random matrix theory, a non-product log-concave distribution. We explore the convergence to…
We use the database leak of Mt. Gox exchange to analyze the dynamics of the price of bitcoin from June 2011 to November 2013. This gives us a rare opportunity to study an emerging retail-focused, highly speculative and unregulated market…
The Rosenblatt process is a self-similar non-Gaussian process which lives in second Wiener chaos, and occurs as the limit of correlated random sequences in so-called \textquotedblleft non-central limit theorems\textquotedblright. It shares…
Fluctuations are a key property of both classical and quantum systems. While the fluctuations are well understood for many quantum systems at zero temperature, the case of an interacting quantum system at finite temperature still poses…
Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…
The fractional Ornstein-Uhleneck (fOU) process is described by the overdamped Langevin equation $\dot{x}(t)+\gamma x=\sqrt{2 D}\xi(t)$, where $\xi(t)$ is the fractional Gaussian noise with the Hurst exponent $0<H<1$. For $H\neq 1/2$ the fOU…
Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are one of the most controversial and complex technological innovations in today's financial system. This study aims to forecast the movements of Bitcoin prices at a high degree of accuracy. To this aim,…
In this paper we address the issue of modeling electricity loads and prices with diffusion processes. More specifically, we study models which belong to the class of generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. After comparing properties of…
This work is an extended version of the paper arXiv:0803.2669v1[math-ph], in which the main results were announced. We consider certain classical diffusion process for a wave function on the phase space. It is shown that at the time of…
This research explores a relatively unexplored area of predicting cryptocurrency staking rewards, offering potential insights to researchers and investors. We investigate two predictive methodologies: a) a straightforward sliding-window…
Cryptocurrencies as a new way of transferring assets and securing financial transactions have gained popularity in recent years. Transactions in cryptocurrencies are publicly available, hence, statistical studies on different aspects of…