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We consider controlling the false discovery rate for testing many time series with an unknown cross-sectional correlation structure. Given a large number of hypotheses, false and missing discoveries can plague an analysis. While many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Junpei Komiyama , Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa , Kenichiro McAlinn

Integrating various data modalities brings valuable insights into underlying phenomena. Multimodal factor analysis (FA) uncovers shared axes of variation underlying different simple data modalities, where each sample is represented by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Małgorzata Łazęcka , Ewa Szczurek

Probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF) is a powerful method for modeling data associ- ated with pairwise relationships, Finding use in collaborative Filtering, computational bi- ology, and document analysis, among other areas. In many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ryan Prescott Adams , George E. Dahl , Iain Murray

Leveraging external controls -- relevant individual patient data under control from external trials or real-world data -- has the potential to reduce the cost of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) while increasing the proportion of trial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Yanyao Yi , Ying Zhang , Yu Du , Ting Ye

Adding domain knowledge to a learning system is known to improve results. In multi-parameter Bayesian frameworks, such knowledge is incorporated as a prior. On the other hand, various model parameters can have different learning rates in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sareh Nabi , Houssam Nassif , Joseph Hong , Hamed Mamani , Guido Imbens

Machine learning methods based on AdaBoost have been widely applied to various classification problems across many mission-critical applications including healthcare, law and finance. However, there is a growing concern about the unfairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Xiaobin Song , Zeyuan Liu , Benben Jiang

This article proposes a novel framework that integrates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model to forecast macro-financial variables and examine asymmetries in the transmission…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-16 Sofia Velasco

The power prior is a popular class of informative priors for incorporating information from historical data. It involves raising the likelihood for the historical data to a power, which acts as a discounting parameter. When the discounting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Yueqi Shen , Matthew A. Psioda , Luiz M. Carvalho , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Learning about the causal structure of the world is a fundamental problem for human cognition. Causal models and especially causal learning have proved to be difficult for large pretrained models using standard techniques of deep learning.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Eunice Yiu , Kelsey Allen , Shiry Ginosar , Alison Gopnik

We consider the problem of identifying whether findings replicate from one study of high dimension to another, when the primary study guides the selection of hypotheses to be examined in the follow-up study as well as when there is no…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-28 Marina Bogomolov , Ruth Heller

Discovery of an accurate causal Bayesian network structure from observational data can be useful in many areas of science. Often the discoveries are made under uncertainty, which can be expressed as probabilities. To guide the use of such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Fattaneh Jabbari , Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper

The Bayesian expected power (BEP) has become increasingly popular in sample size determination and assessment of the probability of success (POS) for a future trial. The BEP takes into consideration the uncertainty around the parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Fang Liu

Large-scale randomized experiments, sometimes called A/B tests, are increasingly prevalent in many industries. Though such experiments are often analyzed via frequentist $t$-tests, arguably such analyses are deficient: $p$-values are hard…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-27 F. Richard Guo , James McQueen , Thomas S. Richardson

A central question in neuroscience is to understand how noisy firing patterns are used to transmit information. Because neural spiking is noisy, spiking patterns are often quantified via pairwise correlations, or the probability that two…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-29 Andrea K. Barreiro , Cheng Ly

In many applications of multiple testing, ancillary information is available, reflecting the hypothesis null or alternative status. Several methods have been developed to leverage this ancillary information to enhance testing power,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Xuechan Li , Jichun Xie

We seek to design novel multiple testing procedures, which take into account a relevant notion of ''power'' or true discovery on the one hand, and allow computationally efficient test design and application on the other. Towards this end we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Rajesh Karmakar , Ruth Heller , Saharon Rosset

The need for tomographic reconstruction from sparse measurements arises when the measurement process is potentially harmful, needs to be rapid, or is uneconomical. In such cases, prior information from previous longitudinal scans of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Preeti Gopal , Sharat Chandran , Imants Svalbe , Ajit Rajwade

A decision-maker must consider cofounding bias when attempting to apply machine learning prediction, and, while feature selection is widely recognized as important process in data-analysis, it could cause cofounding bias. A causal Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Akihiro Yabe

Machine-learned interatomic potentials enable large systems to be simulated for long time scales at near ab-initio accuracy. This accuracy is achieved by fitting extremely flexible model architectures to high quality reference data. In…

In this paper we introduce a novel procedure for improving multiple testing procedures (MTPs) under scenarios when the null hypothesis $p$-values tend to be stochastically larger than standard uniform (referred to as 'inflated'). An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Jules L. Ellis , Jakub Pecanka , Jelle Goeman
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