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Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) methods, such as Upper Confidence Bound applied to Trees (UCT), are instrumental to automated planning techniques. However, UCT can be slow to explore an optimal action when it initially appears inferior to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Michael Painter , Mohamed Baioumy , Nick Hawes , Bruno Lacerda

Robotic manipulation stands as a largely unsolved problem despite significant advances in robotics and machine learning in the last decades. One of the central challenges of manipulation is partial observability, as the agent usually does…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Tim Schneider , Boris Belousov , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

We introduce Sophisticated Learning (SL), a planning-to-learn algorithm that embeds active parameter learning inside the Sophisticated Inference (SI) tree-search framework of Active Inference. Unlike SI -- which optimizes beliefs about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Rowan Hodson , Bruce Bassett , Charel van Hoof , Benjamin Rosman , Mark Solms , Jonathan P. Shock , Ryan Smith

Numerous temporal inference tasks such as fault monitoring and anomaly detection exhibit a persistence property: for example, if something breaks, it stays broken until an intervention. When modeled as a Dynamic Bayesian Network,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Tomas Singliar , Denver Dash

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been increasingly applied in scientific activities for decades; however, it is still far from an insightful and trustworthy collaborator in the scientific process. Most existing AI methods are either too…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Morad Behandish , John Maxwell , Johan de Kleer

Bayesian decision theory advocates the Bayes classifier as the optimal approach for minimizing the risk in machine learning problems. Current deep learning algorithms usually solve for the optimal classifier by \emph{implicitly} estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Chaoqun Du , Yulin Wang , Shiji Song , Gao Huang

Information-theoretic (IT) measures are ubiquitous in artificial intelligence: entropy drives decision-tree splits and uncertainty quantification, cross-entropy is the default classification loss, mutual information underpins representation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Nikolaos Al. Papadopoulos , Konstantinos E. Psannis

This paper argues that Active Inference (AIF) provides a crucial foundation for developing autonomous AI agents capable of learning from experience without continuous human reward engineering. As AI systems begin to exhaust high-quality…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Bo Wen

One of the most important AI research questions is to trade off computation versus performance since ``perfect rationality" exists in theory but is impossible to achieve in practice. Recently, Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) has attracted…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Weirui Ye , Pieter Abbeel , Yang Gao

With the growth of information on the Web, most users heavily rely on information access systems (e.g., search engines, recommender systems, etc.) in their daily lives. During this procedure, modeling users' satisfaction status plays an…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Ziyi Ye , Xiaohui Xie , Yiqun Liu , Zhihong Wang , Xuesong Chen , Min Zhang , Shaoping Ma

Causal inference is fundamental across scientific disciplines, yet existing methods struggle to capture instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems. In this paper, assimilative causal inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Erik Bollt

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

Based on decision trees, many fields have arguably made tremendous progress in recent years. In simple words, decision trees use the strategy of "divide-and-conquer" to divide the complex problem on the dependency between input features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Jinxiong Zhang

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a sample-efficient probabilistic numerical method to solve integrals of expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, yet so far,active BQ learning schemes focus merely on the integrand itself as information source,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Alexandra Gessner , Javier Gonzalez , Maren Mahsereci

In many scientific and engineering fields, where acquiring high-quality data is expensive--such as medical imaging, environmental monitoring, and remote sensing--strategic sampling of unobserved regions based on prior observations is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Anindya Sarkar , Binglin Ji , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Large Language Models have excelled in remarkable reasoning capabilities with advanced prompting techniques, but they fall short on tasks that require exploration, strategic foresight, and sequential decision-making. Recent works propose to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Zheyu Zhang , Zhuorui Ye , Yikang Shen , Chuang Gan

High-level theories rooted in the Bayesian Brain Hypothesis often frame cognitive effort as the cost of resolving the conflict between habits and optimal policies. In parallel, evidence accumulator models (EAMs) provide a mechanistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-15 Alvaro Garrido Perez , Viktor Lemoine , Amrapali Pednekar , Yara Khaluf , Pieter Simoens

People routinely infer the goals of others by observing their actions over time. Remarkably, we can do so even when those actions lead to failure, enabling us to assist others when we detect that they might not achieve their goals. How…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Tan Zhi-Xuan , Jordyn L. Mann , Tom Silver , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Vikash K. Mansinghka

There is a strong link between the general concept of intelligence and the ability to collect and use information. The theory of Bayes-adaptive exploration offers an attractive optimality framework for training machines to perform complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-20 Luca Ambrogioni
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