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The valuation process that economic agents undergo for investments with uncertain payoff typically depends on their statistical views on possible future outcomes, their attitudes toward risk, and, of course, the payoff structure itself.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-11 Constantinos Kardaras

Semiparametric discrete choice models are widely used in a variety of practical applications. While these models are point identified in the presence of continuous covariates, they can become partially identified when covariates are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Shakeeb Khan , Tatiana Komarova , Denis Nekipelov

We propose a novel Reinforcement Learning model for discrete environments, which is inherently interpretable and supports the discovery of deep subgoal hierarchies. In the model, an agent learns information about environment in the form of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Alexander Demin , Denis Ponomaryov

This paper proposes a robust method for semiparametric identification and estimation in panel multinomial choice models, where we allow for infinite-dimensional fixed effects that enter into consumer utilities in an additively nonseparable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Wayne Yuan Gao , Ming Li

Difference-in-differences is a common method for estimating treatment effects, and the parallel trends condition is its main identifying assumption: the trend in mean untreated outcomes is independent of the observed treatment status. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-09 Philip Marx , Elie Tamer , Xun Tang

Reinforcement learning has traditionally been studied with exponential discounting or the average reward setup, mainly due to their mathematical tractability. However, such frameworks fall short of accurately capturing human behavior, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 S. R. Eshwar , Mayank Motwani , Nibedita Roy , Gugan Thoppe

An important feature of pervasive, intelligent assistance systems is the ability to dynamically adapt to the current needs of their users. Hence, it is critical for such systems to be able to recognize those goals and needs based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nils Wilken , Lea Cohausz , Johannes Schaum , Stefan Lüdtke , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

This paper proposes an original methodology to compute the regions of attraction in hyperbolic and polynomial nonlinear dynamical systems using the eigenfunctions of the discrete-time approximation of the Koopman operator given by the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Camilo Garcia-Tenorio , Duvan Tellez-Castro , Eduardo Mojica-Nava , Alain Vande Wouwer

This note presents a unified analysis of the identification of dynamical systems with low-rank constraints under high-dimensional scaling. This identification problem for dynamic systems are challenging due to the intrinsic dependency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Junlin Li

The problem of controlling hybrid dynamical systems using model predictive control (MPC) is formulated and sufficient conditions for asymptotic stability of a set are provided. Hybrid dynamical systems are modeled in terms of hybrid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Ricardo G. Sanfelice , Berk Altin

Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate complex systems by capturing the bottom-up interactions of individual agents comprising the system. Many complex systems of interest, such as epidemics or financial markets, involve thousands or even…

For discrete panel data, the dynamic relationship between successive observations is often of interest. We consider a dynamic probit model for short panel data. A problem with estimating the dynamic parameter of interest is that the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-30 Wei Gao , Wicher Bergsma , Qiwei Yao

The equations of complex dynamical systems may not be identified by expert knowledge, especially if the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Data-driven discovery methods address this challenge by inferring governing equations from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Amit K. Chakraborty , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi

We present a novel dynamic recommendation model that focuses on users who have interactions in the past but turn relatively inactive recently. Making effective recommendations to these time-sensitive cold-start users is critical to maintain…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Krishna Prasad Neupane , Ervine Zheng , Yu Kong , Qi Yu

System identification is a common tool for estimating (linear) plant models as a basis for model-based predictive control and optimization. The current challenges in process industry, however, ask for data-driven modelling techniques that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Arne G. Dankers , Harm H. M. Weerts

We develop a marginal treatment effect based method to learn about causal effects in multiple treatment models with discrete instruments. We allow selection into treatment to be governed by a general class of threshold crossing models that…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Vishal Kamat , Samuel Norris , Matthew Pecenco

Normally hyperbolic invariant manifolds theory provides an efficient tool for proving diffusion in dynamical systems. In this paper we develop a methodology for computer assisted proofs of diffusion in a-priori chaotic systems based on this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Maciej J. Capinski , Jorge Gonzalez , Jean-Pierre Marco , J. D. Mireles James

A large part of the interest in model-based reinforcement learning derives from the potential utility to acquire a forward model capable of strategic long term decision making. Assuming that an agent succeeds in learning a useful predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Alvaro Ovalle , Simon M. Lucas

We derive asymptotically optimal statistical decision rules for discrete choice problems when payoffs depend on a partially-identified parameter $\theta$ and the decision maker can use a point-identified parameter $\mu$ to deduce…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-19 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

Choice modeling is at the core of understanding how changes to the competitive landscape affect consumer choices and reshape market equilibria. In this paper, we propose a fundamental characterization of choice functions that encompasses a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-21 Amandeep Singh , Ye Liu , Hema Yoganarasimhan