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We study the identification of dynamic discrete choice models with sophisticated, quasi-hyperbolic time preferences under exclusion restrictions. We consider both standard finite horizon problems and empirically useful infinite horizon…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-11 Jaap H. Abbring , Øystein Daljord , Fedor Iskhakov

This paper investigates how the discount factor and payoff functions can be identified in stationary infinite-horizon dynamic discrete choice models. In single-agent models, we show that common nonparametric assumptions on per-period…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

Empirical research often cites observed choice responses to variation that shifts expected discounted future utilities, but not current utilities, as an intuitive source of information on time preferences. We study the identification of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-28 Jaap H. Abbring , Øystein Daljord

The recent literature often cites Fang and Wang (2015) for analyzing the identification of time preferences in dynamic discrete choice under exclusion restrictions (e.g. Yao et al., 2012; Lee, 2013; Ching et al., 2013; Norets and Tang,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-28 Jaap H. Abbring , Øystein Daljord

A prominent theme in behavioural contract theory is the study of present-biased agents represented through quasi-hyperbolic discounting. In a model of competitive credit provision, we study an alternative to this framework in which the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-11 Siddharth Chatterjee , Daniel F. Garrett

We introduce an infinite-horizon, continuous-time portfolio selection problem faced by an agent with periodic S-shaped preference and present bias. The inclusion of a quasi-hyperbolic discount function leads to time-inconsistency and we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-25 Yushi Hamaguchi , Alex S. L. Tse

This paper extends the core results of discrete time infinite horizon dynamic programming to the case of state-dependent discounting. We obtain a condition on the discount factor process under which all of the standard optimality results…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-15 John Stachurski , Junnan Zhang

Reinforcement learning (RL) typically defines a discount factor as part of the Markov Decision Process. The discount factor values future rewards by an exponential scheme that leads to theoretical convergence guarantees of the Bellman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-01 William Fedus , Carles Gelada , Yoshua Bengio , Marc G. Bellemare , Hugo Larochelle

Present bias, the tendency to overvalue immediate rewards while undervaluing future ones, is a well-known barrier to achieving long-term goals. As artificial intelligence and behavioral economics increasingly focus on this phenomenon, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Yasunori Akagi , Hideaki Kim , Takeshi Kurashima

This paper develops a general framework for dynamic models in which individuals simultaneously make both discrete and continuous choices. The framework incorporates a wide range of unobserved heterogeneity. I show that such models are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Christophe Bruneel-Zupanc

In dynamic discrete choice models, some parameters, such as the discount factor, are being fixed instead of being estimated. This paper proposes two sensitivity analysis procedures for dynamic discrete choice models with respect to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-30 Chun Pong Lau

This paper studies identification and estimation of a class of dynamic models in which the decision maker (DM) is uncertain about the data-generating process. The DM surrounds a benchmark model that he or she fears is misspecified by a set…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-30 Timothy M. Christensen

We propose an estimation procedure for discrete choice models of differentiated products with possibly high-dimensional product attributes. In our model, high-dimensional attributes can be determinants of both mean and variance of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Kawaguchi

Dynamic discrete choice models are widely employed to answer substantive and policy questions in settings where individuals' current choices have future implications. However, estimation of these models is often computationally intensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Ebrahim Barzegary , Hema Yoganarasimhan

We study existence and uniqueness of the fixed points solutions of a large class of non-linear variable discounted transfer operators associated to a sequential decision-making process. We establish regularity properties of these solutions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 L. Cioletti , Elismar R. Oliveira

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

An important question in economics is how people choose between different payments in the future. The classical normative model predicts that a decision maker discounts a later payment relative to an earlier one by an exponential function…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-09 Alexander T. I. Adamou , Yonatan Berman , Diomides P. Mavroyiannis , Ole B. Peters

This paper proposes a new reinforcement learning with hyperbolic discounting. Combining a new temporal difference error with the hyperbolic discounting in recursive manner and reward-punishment framework, a new scheme to learn the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Taisuke Kobayashi

We study dynamic discrete choice models, where a commonly studied problem involves estimating parameters of agent reward functions (also known as "structural" parameters), using agent behavioral data. Maximum likelihood estimation for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Sinong Geng , Houssam Nassif , Carlos A. Manzanares

Dynamic Data selection aims to accelerate training by prioritizing informative samples during online training. However, existing methods typically rely on task-specific handcrafted metrics or static/snapshot-based criteria to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Suorong Yang , Fangjian Su , Hai Gan , Ziqi Ye , Jie Li , Baile Xu , Furao Shen , Soujanya Poria
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