English
Related papers

Related papers: Decreasing False Alarm Rates in ML-based Solar Fla…

200 papers

We consider the use of machine learning for hypothesis testing with an emphasis on target detection. Classical model-based solutions rely on comparing likelihoods. These are sensitive to imperfect models and are often computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Tzvi Diskin , Uri Okun , Ami Wiesel

Solar energy is one of the most abundant and tapped sources of renewable energies with enormous future potential. Solar panel output can vary widely with factors like intensity, temperature, dirt, debris and so on affecting it. We have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Abishek Karthik , Sreya Mynampati , Pandiyaraju V

Wind power forecasting helps with the planning for the power systems by contributing to having a higher level of certainty in decision-making. Due to the randomness inherent to meteorological events (e.g., wind speeds), making highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Syed Kazmi , Berk Gorgulu , Mucahit Cevik , Mustafa Gokce Baydogan

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

The global shift towards renewable energy has pushed PV cell manufacturing as a pivotal point as they are the fundamental building block of green energy. However, the manufacturing process is complex enough to lose its purpose due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Eiffat E Zaman , Rahima Khanam

We use a well-known deep neural network framework, called Mask R-CNN, for identification of solar filaments in full-disk H-alpha images from Big Bear Solar Observatory (BBSO). The image data, collected from BBSO's archive, are integrated…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-06 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Sushant S. Mahajan , Dustin J. Kempton , Rafal A. Angryk , Shihao Ji

In ultra-fast astronomical observations featuring fast transients on sub-$\mu$s time scales, the conventional Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) threshold, often fixed at $5\sigma$, becomes inadequate as observational window timescales shorten,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-24 Albert Wai Kit Lau , Leo W. H. Fung , George F. Smoot

Machine learning models for forecasting solar flares have been trained and evaluated using a variety of data sources, including Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) operational and science-quality data. Typically, data from these sources…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-02 Ke Hu , Kevin Jin , Victor Verma , Weihao Liu , Ward Manchester , Lulu Zhao , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen

Most of the traditional convolutional neural networks (CNNs) implements bottom-up approach (feed-forward) for image classifications. However, many scientific studies demonstrate that visual perception in primates rely on both bottom-up and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Nevrez Imamoglu , Motoki Kimura , Hiroki Miyamoto , Aito Fujita , Ryosuke Nakamura

Machine learning has emerged as a promising approach for estimating material parameters in solar cells. Traditional methods for parameter extraction often rely on time-consuming numerical simulations that fail to capture the full complexity…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-06-17 Eunchi Kim , Paula Hartnagel , Barbara Urbano , Leonard Christen , Thomas Kirchartz

We present a new model for the probability that the Disturbance storm time (Dst) index exceeds -100 nT, with a lead time between 1 and 3 days. $Dst$ provides essential information about the strength of the ring current around the Earth…

Space Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 A. Hu , C. Shneider , A. Tiwari , E. Camporeale

One of the limiting factors in training data-driven, rare-event prediction algorithms is the scarcity of the events of interest resulting in an extreme imbalance in the data. There have been many methods introduced in the literature for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Yang Chen , Dustin J. Kempton , Azim Ahmadzadeh , Rafal A. Angryk

This paper presents a novel pre-processing scheme to improve the prediction of sand fraction from multiple seismic attributes such as seismic impedance, amplitude and frequency using machine learning and information filtering. The available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-10-06 Soumi Chaki , Aurobinda Routray , William K. Mohanty

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

Solar flares are caused by magnetic eruptions in active regions (ARs) on the surface of the sun. These events can have significant impacts on human activity, many of which can be mitigated with enough advance warning from good forecasts. To…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-18 Varad Deshmukh , Thomas Berger , James Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

During a solar flare, it is believed that reconnection takes place in the corona followed by fast energy transport to the chromosphere. The resulting intense heating strongly disturbs the chromospheric structure, and induces complex…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-30 Christopher M. J. Osborne , John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

A two-stage super-resolution simulation method is proposed for street-scale air temperature and wind velocity, which considerably reduces computation time while maintaining accuracy. The first stage employs a convolutional neural network…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-13 Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Major solar flares are abrupt surges in the Sun's magnetic flux, presenting significant risks to technological infrastructure. In view of this, effectively predicting major flares from solar active region magnetic field data through machine…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-02 Onur Vural , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi