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A central problem of Quantitative Finance is that of formulating a probabilistic model of the time evolution of asset prices allowing reliable predictions on their future volatility. As in several natural phenomena, the predictions of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Dario Bovina , Francesco Camana , Attilio L. Stella

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

We model short-duration (e.g. day) trading in financial markets as a sequential decision-making problem under uncertainty, with the added complication of continual concept-drift. We, therefore, employ meta reinforcement learning via the RL2…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-20 S I Harini , Gautam Shroff , Ashwin Srinivasan , Prayushi Faldu , Lovekesh Vig

Statistic modeling and data-driven learning are the two vital fields that attract many attentions. Statistic models intend to capture and interpret the relationships among variables, while data-based learning attempt to extract information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Jingwei Li

We discuss Bayesian forecasting of increasingly high-dimensional time series, a key area of application of stochastic dynamic models in the financial industry and allied areas of business. Novel state-space models characterizing sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Zoey Yi Zhao , Meng Xie , Mike West

Obesity is a serious public health concern world-wide, which increases the risk of many diseases, including hypertension, stroke, and type 2 diabetes. To tackle this problem, researchers across the health ecosystem are collecting diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Qinghan Xue , Xiaoran Wang , Samuel Meehan , Jilong Kuang , Alex Gao , Mooi Choo Chuah

Non-stationary power system dynamics, influenced by renewable energy variability, evolving demand patterns, and climate change, are becoming increasingly complex. Accurately capturing these dynamics requires a model capable of adapting to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Yang Weng , Marija Ilic , Guangchun Ruan

In the survey we consider the case studies on sales time series forecasting, the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series using time trend correction, dynamic price and supply optimization using Q-learning, Bitcoin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta

Inspired by the tremendous success of deep Convolutional Neural Networks as generic feature extractors for images, we propose TimeNet: a deep recurrent neural network (RNN) trained on diverse time series in an unsupervised manner using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Pankaj Malhotra , Vishnu TV , Lovekesh Vig , Puneet Agarwal , Gautam Shroff

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Multivariate time-series modeling and forecasting is an important problem with numerous applications. Traditional approaches such as VAR (vector auto-regressive) models and more recent approaches such as RNNs (recurrent neural networks) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Hardik Goel , Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

Unlocking the potential of deep learning in Peak-Hour Series Forecasting (PHSF) remains a critical yet underexplored task in various domains. While state-of-the-art deep learning models excel in regular Time Series Forecasting (TSF), they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Zhenwei Zhang , Xin Wang , Jingyuan Xie , Heling Zhang , Yuantao Gu

This study proposes two straightforward yet effective approaches to reduce the required computational time of the training process for time-series modeling through a recurrent neural network (RNN) using multi-time-scale time-series data as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-11 Kei Ishida , Masato Kiyama , Ali Ercan , Motoki Amagasaki , Tongbi Tu

Spiking neural networks (SNNs), inspired by the spiking behavior of biological neurons, provide a unique pathway for capturing the intricacies of temporal data. However, applying SNNs to time-series forecasting is challenging due to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Changze Lv , Yansen Wang , Dongqi Han , Xiaoqing Zheng , Xuanjing Huang , Dongsheng Li

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Real-world applications of contextual bandits often exhibit non-stationarity due to seasonality, serendipity, and evolving social trends. While a number of non-stationary contextual bandit learning algorithms have been proposed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Zheqing Zhu , Yueyang Liu , Xu Kuang , Benjamin Van Roy

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng
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