Related papers: The roughness exponent and its model-free estimati…
The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…
We study the Gross-Pitaevskii hierarchy on the spatial domain $\mathbb{T}^3$. By using an appropriate randomization of the Fourier coefficients in the collision operator, we prove an averaged form of the main estimate which is used in order…
We consider the persistence probability of a certain fractional Gaussian process $M^H$ that appears in the Mandelbrot-van Ness representation of fractional Brownian motion. This process is self-similar and smooth. We show that the…
We show that a family of random variables is uniformly integrable if and only if it is stochastically bounded in the increasing convex order by an integrable random variable. This result is complemented by proving analogous statements for…
We consider a random variable X satisfying almost-sure conditions involving G:=<DX,-DL^{-1}X> where DX is X's Malliavin derivative and L^{-1} is the inverse Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator. A lower- (resp. upper-) bound condition on G is proved…
We show weak convergence of the time-$t$ marginals for the integrated variance in a re-scaled rough Heston model to an Inverse Gaussian L\'{e}vy process. This shows we can obtain such a limit without having to impose that the true Hurst…
We consider regression with square loss and general classes of functions without the boundedness assumption. We introduce a notion of offset Rademacher complexity that provides a transparent way to study localization both in expectation and…
In this paper, connections between surface roughness and directed polymers in random medium are studied, when the surface is considered as a directed line undergoing stochastic oscillations. This is performed by studying the influence of a…
We consider differential equations driven by rough paths and study the regularity of the laws and their long time behavior. In particular, we focus on the case when the driving noise is a rough path valued fractional Brownian motion with…
We investigate the existence of a robust, i.e., continuous, representation of the conditional distribution in a stochastic filtering model for multidimensional correlated jump-diffusions. Even in the absence of jumps, it is known that in…
We propose a new stochastic model involving state-dependent variable exponent $p(\cdot)$ which allows modeling of systems where noise intensity adapts to the current state. This new flexible theoretical framework generalizes both the…
Within the rough path framework we prove the continuity of the solution to random differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion with respect to the Hurst parameter $H$ when $H \in (1/3, 1/2]$.
We prove the existence of local stable, unstable, and center manifolds for stochastic semiflows induced by rough differential equations driven by rough paths valued stochastic processes around random fixed points of the equation. Examples…
Robust mean estimation is the problem of estimating the mean $\mu \in \mathbb{R}^d$ of a $d$-dimensional distribution $D$ from a list of independent samples, an $\epsilon$-fraction of which have been arbitrarily corrupted by a malicious…
Variational convexity, together with ist strong counterpart, of extended-real-valued functions has been recently introduced by Rockafellar. In this paper we present second-order characterizations of these properties, i.e., conditions using…
We revisit a classical assumption for analyzing stochastic gradient algorithms where the squared norm of the stochastic subgradient (or the variance for smooth problems) is allowed to grow as fast as the squared norm of the optimization…
We collect some applications of the variational formula established by Schr\"oder (1988) and Rue\ss (2013) for the quenched Lyapunov exponent of Brownian motion in stationary and ergodic nonnegative potential. We show for example that the…
We propose a new class of rough stochastic volatility models obtained by modulating the power-law kernel defining the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by a logarithmic term, such that the kernel retains square integrability even in the…
We derive an invariance principle for the lift to the rough path topology of stochastic processes with delayed regenerative increments under an optimal moment condition. An interesting feature of the result is the emergence of area anomaly,…
We derive a very simple and effective stickiness criterion for solids having random roughness using a new asymptotic theory, which we validate with that of Persson and Scaraggi and independent numerical experiments. Previous claims that…