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The dominant pole approximation (DPA) is a classical analytic method to obtain from a generating function asymptotic estimates for its underlying coefficients. We apply DPA to a discrete queue in a critical many-sources regime, in order to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-18 A. J. E. M. Janssen , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have emerged as a promising technique in generative modeling. The success of DPMs relies on two ingredients: time reversal of diffusion processes and score matching. In view of possibly unguaranteed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Wenpin Tang , Hanyang Zhao

We propose a general robust prediction framework, termed conformal-projective prediction (CPP), that integrates Bayesian predictive modeling with ideas from conformal prediction. Rather than assessing conformity through residual-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Arkaprava Roy , Malay Ghosh

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are Bayesian models that provide uncertainty estimates associated to the predictions made. They are also very flexible due to their non-parametric nature. Nevertheless, GPs suffer from poor scalability as the number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Bahram Jafrasteh , Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Reliable uncertainty estimates are crucial in modern machine learning. Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) and Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) extend GPs hierarchically, offering promising methods for uncertainty quantification grounded in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-25 Matthijs van der Lende , Jeremias Lino Ferrao , Niclas Müller-Hof

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Deceptive path planning (DPP) is the problem of designing a path that hides its true goal from an outside observer. Existing methods for DPP rely on unrealistic assumptions, such as global state observability and perfect model knowledge,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Michael Y. Fatemi , Wesley A. Suttle , Brian M. Sadler

Probabilistic programming (PP) is a programming paradigm that allows for writing statistical models like ordinary programs, performing simulations by running those programs, and analyzing and refining their statistical behavior using…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Martin Kuhn , Joscha Grüger , Christoph Matheja , Andrey Rivkin

Sampling-based model predictive control (MPC) is effective for nonlinear systems but often produces non-smooth control inputs due to random sampling. To address this issue, we extend the model predictive path integral (MPPI) framework with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-08 Markus Walker , Marcel Reith-Braun , Tai Hoang , Gerhard Neumann , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Models for human choice prediction in preference learning and psychophysics often consider only binary response data, requiring many samples to accurately learn preferences or perceptual detection thresholds. The response time (RT) to make…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-13 Michael Shvartsman , Benjamin Letham , Stephen Keeley

Rank-based dependence measures such as Spearman's footrule are robust and invariant, but they often fail to capture directional or asymmetric dependence in multivariate settings. This paper introduces a new family of directional Spearman's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Enrique de Amo , David García-Fernández , Manuel Úbeda-Flores

Large random matrices appear in different fields of mathematics and physics such as combinatorics, probability theory, statistics, operator theory, number theory, quantum field theory, string theory etc... In the last ten years, they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alice Guionnet

Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) are powerful generative models that have achieved unparalleled success in a number of generative tasks. In this work, we aim to build inductive biases into the training and sampling of diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Thomas Jiralerspong , Berton Earnshaw , Jason Hartford , Yoshua Bengio , Luca Scimeca

This manuscript offers the perspective of experimentalists on a number of modern data-driven techniques: model predictive control relying on Gaussian processes, adaptive data-driven control based on behavioral theory, and deep reinforcement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-01 Loris Di Natale , Yingzhao Lian , Emilio T. Maddalena , Jicheng Shi , Colin N. Jones

Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models have been increasingly employed to specify random partition models that take into account possible patterns within the covariates. Furthermore, to deal with large numbers of covariates, methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-01 William Barcella , Maria De Iorio , Gianluca Baio

Topology optimization is a structural design methodology widely utilized to address engineering challenges. However, sensitivity-based topology optimization methods struggle to solve optimization problems characterized by strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Jun Yang , Kentaro Yaji , Shintaro Yamasaki

Diffusion models benefit from instillation of task-specific information into the score function to steer the sample generation towards desired properties. Such information is coined as guidance. For example, in text-to-image synthesis, text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Yuchen Wu , Minshuo Chen , Zihao Li , Mengdi Wang , Yuting Wei

Determinantal point processes are models for regular spatial point patterns, with appealing probabilistic properties. We present their spatio-temporal counterparts and give examples of these models, based on spatio-temporal covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Nafiseh Vafaei , Mohammad Ghorbani , Masoud Ganji , Mari Myllymäki

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are multi-layer, flexible extensions of Gaussian processes but their training remains challenging. Sparse approximations simplify the training but often require optimization over a large number of inducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Ayush Jain , P. K. Srijith , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

This paper establishes the theoretical foundation for statistical applications of an intriguing new type of spatial point processes called critical point processes. These point processes, residing in Euclidean space, consist of the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Julien Chevallier , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen
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