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We develop a generic data-driven method for estimator selection in off-policy policy evaluation settings. We establish a strong performance guarantee for the method, showing that it is competitive with the oracle estimator, up to a constant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Yi Su , Pavithra Srinath , Akshay Krishnamurthy

Solutions to address the periodic review inventory control problem with nonstationary random demand, lost sales, and stochastic vendor lead times typically involve making strong assumptions on the dynamics for either approximation or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-26 Dean Foster , Randy Jia , Dhruv Madeka

Recently, there is growing interest and need for dynamic pricing algorithms, especially, in the field of online marketplaces by offering smart pricing options for big online stores. We present an approach to adjust prices based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 David Müller , Yurii Nesterov , Vladimir Shikhman

Connectionist temporal classification (CTC) is commonly adopted for sequence modeling tasks like speech recognition, where it is necessary to preserve order between the input and target sequences. However, CTC is only applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Zheng Nan , Ting Dang , Vidhyasaharan Sethu , Beena Ahmed

Predicting the effect of interventions with many possible variations, e.g., therapeutic content that affects mental health outcomes or an earnings call transcript that drives movement in share price, is useful across several domains.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Nikita Dhawan , Arnav Paruthi , Andrew Kim , Lovedeep Gondara , Jekaterina Novikova , Chris J. Maddison

Creating impact in real-world settings requires artificial intelligence techniques to span the full pipeline from data, to predictive models, to decisions. These components are typically approached separately: a machine learning model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Bryan Wilder , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer's utility is additive in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Rob Donnelly , Francisco R. Ruiz , David Blei , Susan Athey

This paper presents a comprehensive review of loss functions and performance metrics in deep learning, highlighting key developments and practical insights across diverse application areas. We begin by outlining fundamental considerations…

Choice functions accept a set of alternatives as input and produce a preferred subset of these alternatives as output. We study the problem of learning such functions under conditions of context-dependence of preferences, which means that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Karlson Pfannschmidt , Pritha Gupta , Björn Haddenhorst , Eyke Hüllermeier

Causal inference necessarily relies upon untestable assumptions; hence, it is crucial to assess the robustness of obtained results to violations of identification assumptions. However, such sensitivity analysis is only occasionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao

Incorporating every annotator's perspective is crucial for unbiased data modeling. Annotator fatigue and changing opinions over time can distort dataset annotations. To combat this, we propose to learn a more accurate representation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Uthman Jinadu , Yi Ding

We consider the problem of sequential decision making under uncertainty in which the loss caused by a decision depends on the following binary observation. In competitive on-line learning, the goal is to design decision algorithms that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

When inferring the causal effect of one variable on another from correlational data, a common practice by professional researchers as well as lay decision makers is to control for some set of exogenous confounding variables. Choosing an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-31 Ran Spiegler

Pricing based on individual customer characteristics is widely used to maximize sellers' revenues. This work studies offline personalized pricing under endogeneity using an instrumental variable approach. Standard instrumental variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Rui Miao , Zhengling Qi , Cong Shi , Lin Lin

Assortment optimization is a fundamental challenge in modern retail and recommendation systems, where the goal is to select a subset of products that maximizes expected revenue under complex customer choice behaviors. While recent advances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Miao Lu , Yuxuan Han , Han Zhong , Zhengyuan Zhou , Jose Blanchet

We study nonparametric covariance function estimation for functional data observed with noise at discrete locations on a $d$-dimensional domain. Estimating the covariance function from discretely observed data is a challenging nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Yoshikazu Terada , Atsutomo Yara

We study contextual search, a generalization of binary search in higher dimensions, which captures settings such as feature-based dynamic pricing. Standard formulations of this problem assume that agents act in accordance with a specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Akshay Krishnamurthy , Thodoris Lykouris , Chara Podimata , Robert Schapire

Data-driven pricing strategies are becoming increasingly common, where customers are offered a personalized price based on features that are predictive of their valuation of a product. It is desirable for this pricing policy to be simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Max Biggs , Wei Sun , Markus Ettl

This paper investigates off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits, aiming to quantify the performance of a target policy using data collected under a different and potentially unknown behavior policy. Recently, methods based on conformal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yilong Wan , Yuqiang Li , Xianyi Wu

Consider a problem where a set of feasible observations are provided by an expert and a cost function is defined that characterizes which of the observations dominate the others and are hence, preferred. Our goal is to find a set of linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Kimia Ghobadi , Houra Mahmoudzadeh
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