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Applied work under interference typically models outcomes as functions of own treatment and a low-dimensional exposure mapping of others' treatments, even when that mapping may be misspecified. We ask what policy object such exposure-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-27 Yechan Park , Xiaodong Yang

Existing strategies for determining the optimal treatment or monitoring strategy typically assume unlimited access to resources. However, when a health system has resource constraints, such as limited funds, access to medication, or…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-18 Ellen C Caniglia , Eleanor J Murray , Miguel A Hernan , Zach Shahn

We study the problem of allocating scarce societal resources of different types (e.g., permanent housing, deceased donor kidneys for transplantation, ventilators) to heterogeneous allocatees on a waitlist (e.g., people experiencing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Bill Tang , Çağıl Koçyiğit , Eric Rice , Phebe Vayanos

We study RCTs that evaluate the impact of service interventions, for example, teachers or advisors conducting proactive outreach to at-risk students, medical providers giving medication adherence support by calling or texting, or social…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Justin Boutilier , Jonas Oddur Jonasson , Hannah Li , Erez Yoeli

Tanker-based distribution systems have been prevalent in developing countries to supply clean and pure water in different regions. To efficiently operate such tanker service systems, a large fleet of tanker trucks are required to transport…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Abhilasha Maheshwari , Shamik Misra , Ravindra Gudi , Senthilmurugan Subbiah

The stable unit treatment value assumption states that the outcome of an individual is not affected by the treatment statuses of others, however in many real world applications, treatments can have an effect on many others beyond the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Steven Wilkins Reeves , Shane Lubold , Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Tyler H. McCormick

The micro-randomized trial (MRT) is a sequential randomized experimental design to empirically evaluate the effectiveness of mobile health (mHealth) intervention components that may be delivered at hundreds or thousands of decision points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

We study the offline data-driven sequential decision making problem in the framework of Markov decision process (MDP). In order to enhance the generalizability and adaptivity of the learned policy, we propose to evaluate each policy by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-11 Zhengling Qi , Peng Liao

Vaccination is essential for the management of infectious diseases, many of which continue to pose devastating public health and economic challenges across the world. However, many vaccines are imperfect having only a partial protective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-04 Hetsron L. Nyandjo-Bamen , Jean Marie Ntaganda , Aurelien Tellier , Olivier Menoukeu-Pamen

In the absence of drugs and vaccines, policymakers use non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing to decrease rates of disease-causing contact, with the aim of reducing or delaying the epidemic peak. These measures carry…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-22 Dylan H. Morris , Fernando W. Rossine , Joshua B. Plotkin , Simon A. Levin

Many policy problems involve designing individualized treatment allocation rules to maximize the equilibrium social welfare of interacting agents. Focusing on large-scale simultaneous decision games with strategic complementarities, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-12 Guanyi Wang

We study randomized experiments in bipartite systems where only a subset of treatment-side units are eligible for assignment while all units continue to interact, generating interference. We formalize eligibility-constrained bipartite…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Albert Tan , Mohsen Bayati , James Nordlund , Roman Istomin

Millions of young people are not immunized in low- and middle-income (LMI) countries because of low vaccine availability resulting from inefficiencies in cold supply chains. We create supply chain network design and distribution models to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Zahra Azadi , Sandra D. Eksioglu , H. Neil Geismar

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-06 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

In Influence Maximization (IM), the objective is to -- given a budget -- select the optimal set of entities in a network to target with a treatment so as to maximize the total effect. For instance, in marketing, the objective is to target…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Daan Caljon , Jente Van Belle , Jeroen Berrevoets , Wouter Verbeke

In this paper we propose a method for sparse dynamic allocation of resources to bound the risk of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfires, using convex optimization and dynamic programming techniques. Here, risk is defined as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-18 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

Treatment effect heterogeneity is of a great concern when evaluating policy impact: "is the treatment Pareto-improving?", "what is the proportion of people who are better off under the treatment?", etc. However, even in the simple case of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-18 Myungkou Shin

This paper proposes a framewrok for analyzing how the welfare effects of policy interventions are distributed across individuals when those effects are unobserved. Rather than focusing solely on average outcomes, the approach uses readily…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-25 Costas Lambros , Emerson Melo

We propose an adaptive sequential framework for testing two simple hypotheses that analytically ensures finite exposure to the less effective treatment. Our proposed procedure employs a likelihood ratio-driven adaptive allocation rule,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Sampurna Kundu , Jayant Jha , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Policy interventions can spill over to units of a population that are not directly exposed to the policy but are geographically close to the units receiving the intervention. In recent work, investigations of spillover effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Youjin Lee , Gary Hettinger , Nandita Mitra