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What functions can Neural Processes represent? We analyze the representational capacity of popular NP architectures: Conditional Neural Processes (CNPs), Attentive Neural Processes (ANPs), Transformer Neural Processes (TNPs), and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Robin Young

Quantifying uncertainty in predictions or, more generally, estimating the posterior conditional distribution, is a core challenge in machine learning and statistics. We introduce Convex Nonparanormal Regression (CNR), a conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Yonatan Woodbridge , Gal Elidan , Ami Wiesel

In the context of survival analysis, data-driven neural network-based methods have been developed to model complex covariate effects. While these methods may provide better predictive performance than regression-based approaches, not all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jesse Islam , Maxime Turgeon , Robert Sladek , Sahir Bhatnagar

We extend Neural Processes (NPs) to sequential data through Recurrent NPs or RNPs, a family of conditional state space models. RNPs model the state space with Neural Processes. Given time series observed on fast real-world time scales but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Timon Willi , Jonathan Masci , Jürgen Schmidhuber , Christian Osendorfer

Classical computation of optical flow involves generic priors (regularizers) that capture rudimentary statistics of images, but not long-range correlations or semantics. On the other hand, fully supervised methods learn the regularity in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-30 Yanchao Yang , Stefano Soatto

Neural processes are meta-learning models that map context sets to predictive distributions. While inspired by stochastic processes, NPs do not generally satisfy the Kolmogorov consistency conditions required to define a valid stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Robin Young

Neural Processes (NPs) are deep probabilistic models that represent stochastic processes by conditioning their prior distributions on a set of context points. Despite their advantages in uncertainty estimation for complex distributions, NPs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Xuesong Wang , He Zhao , Edwin V. Bonilla

This paper proposes and develops a physics-inspired neural network (PiNN) for learning the parameters of commercially implemented adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems in automotive industry. To emulate the core functionality of stock ACC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-13 Theocharis Apostolakis , Konstantinos Ampountolas

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful machine learning prediction models on graph-structured data. However, GNNs lack rigorous uncertainty estimates, limiting their reliable deployment in settings where the cost of errors is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Kexin Huang , Ying Jin , Emmanuel Candès , Jure Leskovec

This paper reviews the Stochastic Recurrent Neural Network (SRNN) as applied to the light curves of Active Galactic Nuclei by Sheng et al. (2022). Astronomical data have inherent limitations arising from telescope capabilities, cadence…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-24 Xinyue Sheng , Matt Nicholl , Nicholas Ross

Neural processes (NPs) learn stochastic processes and predict the distribution of target output adaptively conditioned on a context set of observed input-output pairs. Furthermore, Attentive Neural Process (ANP) improved the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Shenghao Qin , Jiacheng Zhu , Jimmy Qin , Wenshuo Wang , Ding Zhao

The advent of new time domain surveys and the imminent increase in astronomical data expose the shortcomings in traditional time series analysis (such as power spectra analysis) in characterising the abundantly varied, complex and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-07-22 R. A. Phillipson , P. T. Boyd , A. P. Smale , M. S. Vogeley

Neural Processes (NPs) are powerful and flexible models able to incorporate uncertainty when representing stochastic processes, while maintaining a linear time complexity. However, NPs produce a latent description by aggregating independent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Ben Day , Cătălina Cangea , Arian R. Jamasb , Pietro Liò

Among the most extreme objects in the Universe, active galactic nuclei (AGN) are luminous centers of galaxies where a black hole feeds on surrounding matter. The variability patterns of the light emitted by an AGN contain information about…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-22 Ji Won Park , Ashley Villar , Yin Li , Yan-Fei Jiang , Shirley Ho , Joshua Yao-Yu Lin , Philip J. Marshall , Aaron Roodman

Neural Processes (NPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a,b) are a rich class of models for meta-learning that map data sets directly to predictive stochastic processes. We provide a rigorous analysis of the standard maximum-likelihood objective used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Wessel P. Bruinsma , James Requeima , Andrew Y. K. Foong , Jonathan Gordon , Richard E. Turner

Neural population activity exhibits complex, nonlinear dynamics, varying in time, over trials, and across experimental conditions. Here, we develop Conditionally Linear Dynamical System (CLDS) models as a general-purpose method to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-31 Victor Geadah , Amin Nejatbakhsh , David Lipshutz , Jonathan W. Pillow , Alex H. Williams

Deep X-ray surveys have provided a comprehensive and largely unbiased view of active galactic nuclei (AGN) evolution stretching back to $z \sim 5$. However, it has been challenging to use the survey results to connect this evolution to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-21 D. R. Ballantyne

Developing suitable approximate models for analyzing and simulating complex nonlinear systems is practically important. This paper aims at exploring the skill of a rich class of nonlinear stochastic models, known as the conditional Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Nan Chen , Yingda Li , Honghu Liu

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

This paper investigates the use of probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) to model aleatoric uncertainty, which refers to the inherent variability in the input-output relationships of a system, often characterized by unequal variance or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Scott E. Stapleton