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This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Fantasy sports allow fans to manage a team of their favorite athletes and compete with friends. The fantasy platform aligns the real-world statistical performance of athletes to fantasy scoring and has steadily risen in popularity to an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Aaron Baughman , Micah Forester , Jeff Powell , Eduardo Morales , Shaun McPartlin , Daniel Bohm

Machine learning models usually assume that a set of feature values used to obtain an output is fixed in advance. However, in many real-world problems, a cost is associated with measuring these features. To address the issue of reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Katsumi Takahashi , Koh Takeuchi , Hisashi Kashima

Inferring parameters of macro-kinetic growth models, typically represented by Ordinary Differential Equations (ODE), from the experimental data is a crucial step in bioprocess engineering. Conventionally, estimates of the parameters are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Maxim Borisyak , Stefan Born , Peter Neubauer , Mariano Nicolas Cruz-Bournazou

Most accurate predictions are typically obtained by learning machines with complex feature spaces (as e.g. induced by kernels). Unfortunately, such decision rules are hardly accessible to humans and cannot easily be used to gain insights…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-08-13 Alexander Zien , Nicole Kraemer , Soeren Sonnenburg , Gunnar Raetsch

Decision-focused learning (DFL) is an increasingly popular paradigm for training predictive models whose outputs are used in decision-making tasks. Instead of merely optimizing for predictive accuracy, DFL trains models to directly minimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Aymeric Capitaine , Maxime Haddouche , Eric Moulines , Michael I. Jordan , Etienne Boursier , Alain Durmus

Statistical applications in sports have long centered on how to best separate signal (e.g. team talent) from random noise. However, most of this work has concentrated on a single sport, and the development of meaningful cross-sport…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-23 Michael J. Lopez , Gregory J. Matthews , Benjamin S. Baumer

Machine learning models have become increasingly popular for predicting the results of soccer matches, however, the lack of publicly-available benchmark datasets has made model evaluation challenging. The 2023 Soccer Prediction Challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Calvin Yeung , Rory Bunker , Rikuhei Umemoto , Keisuke Fujii

Stock price prediction is a challenging task, but machine learning methods have recently been used successfully for this purpose. In this paper, we extract over 270 hand-crafted features (factors) inspired by technical and quantitative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Previous work on fantasy basketball quantifies player value for category leagues without taking draft circumstances into account. Quantifying value in this way is convenient, but inherently limited as a strategy, because it precludes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Zach Rosenof

Performance optimization of deep learning models is conducted either manually or through automatic architecture search, or a combination of both. On the other hand, their performance strongly depends on the target hardware and how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Vahid Partovi Nia , Alireza Ghaffari , Mahdi Zolnouri , Yvon Savaria

Deep Reinforcement learning is a branch of unsupervised learning in which an agent learns to act based on environment state in order to maximize its total reward. Deep reinforcement learning provides good opportunity to model the complexity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-05 Zhaolu Dong , Shan Huang , Simiao Ma , Yining Qian

Crafting effective features is a crucial yet labor-intensive and domain-specific task within machine learning pipelines. Fortunately, recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise in automating various data science…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Yanlin Zhang , Ning Li , Quan Gan , Weinan Zhang , David Wipf , Minjie Wang

Understanding how changes in explanatory features affect the unconditional distribution of the outcome is important in many applications. However, existing black-box predictive models are not readily suited for analyzing such questions. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Jing Zhou , Chunlin Li

Existing work on understanding deep learning often employs measures that compress all data-dependent information into a few numbers. In this work, we adopt a perspective based on the role of individual examples. We introduce a measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Robert J. N. Baldock , Hartmut Maennel , Behnam Neyshabur

Existing approaches for estimating home-field advantage (HFA) include modeling the difference between home and away scores as a function of the difference between home and away team ratings that are treated either as fixed or random…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-23 Andrew T. Karl

One of the major advantages in using Deep Learning for Finance is to embed a large collection of information into investment decisions. A way to do that is by means of compression, that lead us to consider a smaller feature space. Several…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Luigi Troiano , Elena Mejuto , Pravesh Kriplani

Data analytics in sports is crucial to evaluate the performance of single players and the whole team. The literature proposes a number of tools for both offence and defence scenarios. Data coming from tracking location of players, in this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-28 Tullio Facchinetti , Rodolfo Metulini , Paola Zuccolotto

We model the photo cropping problem as a cascade of attention box regression and aesthetic quality classification, based on deep learning. A neural network is designed that has two branches for predicting attention bounding box and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Wenguan Wang , Jianbing Shen

The amount of information in the form of features and variables avail- able to machine learning algorithms is ever increasing. This can lead to classifiers that are prone to overfitting in high dimensions, high di- mensional models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-12 Aaron Karper
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