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As advertisers increasingly shift their budgets toward digital advertising, accurately forecasting advertising costs becomes essential for optimizing marketing campaign returns. This paper presents a comprehensive study that employs various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Fynn Oldenburg , Qiwei Han , Maximilian Kaiser

Direct buy advertisers procure advertising inventory at fixed rates from publishers and ad networks. Such advertisers face the complex task of choosing ads amongst myriad new publisher sites. We offer evidence that advertisers do not excel…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Carl F. Mela , Jason M. T. Roos , Tulio Sousa

Forecasting click volume is a key task in digital advertising, influencing both revenue and campaign strategy. Traditional time series models rely solely on numerical data, often overlooking rich contextual information embedded in textual…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Briti Gangopadhyay , Zhao Wang , Shingo Takamatsu

Online display advertising is growing rapidly in recent years thanks to the automation of the ad buying process. Real-time bidding (RTB) allows the automated trading of ad impressions between advertisers and publishers through real-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Yang Qiu , Nikolaos Tziortziotis , Martial Hue , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

In online advertising, users may be exposed to a range of different advertising campaigns, such as natural search or referral or organic search, before leading to a final transaction. Estimating the contribution of advertising campaigns on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Dongdong Yang , Kevin Dyer , Senzhang Wang

Demand forecasting in the online fashion industry is particularly amendable to global, data-driven forecasting models because of the industry's set of particular challenges. These include the volume of data, the irregularity, the high…

Conversion prediction plays an important role in online advertising since Cost-Per-Action (CPA) has become one of the primary campaign performance objectives in the industry. Unlike click prediction, conversions have different types in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Junwei Pan , Yizhi Mao , Alfonso Lobos Ruiz , Yu Sun , Aaron Flores

Online advertising is a huge, rapidly growing advertising market in today's world. One common form of online advertising is using image ads. A decision is made (often in real time) every time a user sees an ad, and the advertiser is eager…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-03 Michael Fire , Jonathan Schler

Real-time Bidding (RTB) advertisers wish to \textit{know in advance} the expected cost and yield of ad campaigns to avoid trial-and-error expenses. However, Campaign Performance Forecasting (CPF), a sequence modeling task involving tens of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-20 XiaoYu Wang , YongHui Guo , Hui Sheng , Peili Lv , Chi Zhou , Wei Huang , ShiQin Ta , Dongbo Huang , XiuJin Yang , Lan Xu , Hao Zhou , Yusheng Ji

In markets for online advertising, some advertisers pay only when users respond to ads. So publishers estimate ad response rates and multiply by advertiser bids to estimate expected revenue for showing ads. Since these estimates may be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-08 Ragavendran Gopalakrishnan , Eric Bax , Krishna Prasad Chitrapura , Sachin Garg

This paper examines and proposes several attribution modeling methods that quantify how revenue should be attributed to online advertising inputs. We adopt and further develop relative importance method, which is based on regression models…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-19 Kaifeng Zhao , Seyed Hanif Mahboobi , Saeed Bagheri

Online advertising, as the vast market, has gained significant attention in various platforms ranging from search engines, third-party websites, social media, and mobile apps. The prosperity of online campaigns is a challenge in online…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Zhabiz Gharibshah , Xingquan Zhu

In this paper, we propose a stochastic model to describe how search service providers charge client companies based on users' queries for the keywords related to these companies' ads by using certain advertisement assignment strategies. We…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-09-10 Bo Tan , R. Srikant

Online advertisement is the main source of revenue for Internet business. Advertisers are typically ranked according to a score that takes into account their bids and potential click-through rates(eCTR). Generally, the likelihood that a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-06 Lulu Wang , Huahui Liu , Guanhao Chen , Shaola Ren , Xiaonan Meng , Yi Hu

This paper describes an engine to optimize web publisher revenues from second-price auctions. These auctions are widely used to sell online ad spaces in a mechanism called real-time bidding (RTB). Optimization within these auctions is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Pedro Chahuara , Nicolas Grislain , Grégoire Jauvion , Jean-Michel Renders

This research presents an innovative and unique way of solving the advertisement prediction problem which is considered as a learning problem over the past several years. Online advertising is a multi-billion-dollar industry and is growing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-02-15 Muhammad Junaid Effendi , Syed Abbas Ali

Predicting the probability that a user will click on a specific advertisement has been a prevalent issue in online advertising, attracting much research attention in the past decades. As a hot research frontier driven by industrial needs,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Yanwu Yang , Panyu Zhai

Customers are usually exposed to online digital advertisement channels, such as email marketing, display advertising, paid search engine marketing, along their way to purchase or subscribe products( aka. conversion). The marketers track all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Ning li , Sai Kumar Arava , Chen Dong , Zhenyu Yan , Abhishek Pani

Online advertising has been introduced as one of the most efficient methods of advertising throughout the recent years. Yet, advertisers are concerned about the efficiency of their online advertising campaigns and consequently, would like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Ali Jalali , Santanu Kolay , Peter Foldes , Ali Dasdan
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