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In this paper we introduce a novel way of estimating prediction uncertainty in deep networks through the use of uncertainty surrogates. These surrogates are features of the penultimate layer of a deep network that are forced to match…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Radhakrishna Achanta , Natasa Tagasovska

The use of machine learning for modeling, understanding, and controlling large-scale physics systems is quickly gaining in popularity, with examples ranging from electromagnetism over nuclear fusion reactors and magneto-hydrodynamics to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Fynn Fromme , Hans Harder , Christine Allen-Blanchette , Sebastian Peitz

During the design process of an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV), the pressure vessel has a critical role. The pressure vessel contains dry electronics, power sources, and other sensors that can not be flooded. A traditional design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

Inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) play a crucial role in various fields, including computational science, image processing, and engineering. Particularly, Darcy flow equation is a fundamental equation in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-24 Hongji Wang , Hongqiao Wang , Jinyong Ying , Qingping Zhou

We propose a general framework for machine learning based optimization under uncertainty. Our approach replaces the complex forward model by a surrogate, which is learned simultaneously in a one-shot sense when solving the optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Philipp A. Guth , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

The paper addresses Bayesian inferences in inverse problems with uncertainty quantification involving a computationally expensive forward map associated with solving a partial differential equations. To mitigate the computational cost, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 A. Galaviz , J. A. Christen , A. Capella

Simulating 2D flow in fractured crystalline rock requires 2D stochastic discrete-fracture matrix (DFM) models. To obtain the simulation statistics of interest at an affordable computational cost, we aim to use the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Martin Špetlík , Jan Březina , Eric Laloy

In design, fabrication, and control problems, we are often faced with the task of synthesis, in which we must generate an object or configuration that satisfies a set of constraints while maximizing one or more objective functions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Xingyuan Sun , Tianju Xue , Szymon Rusinkiewicz , Ryan P. Adams

This study proposes a new discrete neural operator for surrogate modeling of transient Darcy flow fields in heterogeneous porous media with random parameters. The new method integrates temporal encoding, operator learning and UNet to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Zhenglong Chen , Zhao Zhang , Xia Yan , Jiayu Zhai , Piyang Liu , Kai Zhang

Fast machine learning-based surrogate models are trained to emulate slow, high-fidelity engineering simulation models to accelerate engineering design tasks. This introduces uncertainty as the surrogate is only an approximation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-08 Paul Westermann , Ralph Evins

Surrogate models that combine dimensionality reduction and regression techniques are essential to reduce the need for costly high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics data. New approaches using $\beta$-Variational Autoencoder ($\beta$-VAE)…

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 E. Javier Olucha , Valentin Preda , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

The solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) plays a central role in numerous applications in science and engineering, particularly those involving multiphase flow in porous media. Complex, nonlinear systems govern these problems…

This work suggests several methods of uncertainty treatment in multiscale modelling and describes their application to a system of coupled turbulent transport simulations of a tokamak plasma. We propose a method to quantify the usually…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-07-10 Yehor Yudin , David Coster , Udo von Toussaint , Frank Jenko

Modelling interfacial dynamics with soluble surfactants in a multiphase system is a challenging task. Here, we consider the numerical approximation of a phase-field surfactant model with fluid flow. The nonlinearly coupled model consists of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-03-02 Guangpu Zhu , Jisheng Kou , Shuyu Sun , Jun Yao , Aifen Li

Microstructure evolution, which plays a critical role in determining materials properties, is commonly simulated by the high-fidelity but computationally expensive phase-field method. To address this, we approximate microstructure evolution…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-22 Saurabh Tiwari , Prathamesh Satpute , Supriyo Ghosh

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

Shallow water equations are the foundation of most models for flooding and river hydraulics analysis. These physics-based models are usually expensive and slow to run, thus not suitable for real-time prediction or parameter inversion. An…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-22 Yalan Song , Chaopeng Shen , Xiaofeng Liu

A physics-informed convolutional neural network is proposed to simulate two phase flow in porous media with time-varying well controls. While most of PICNNs in existing literatures worked on parameter-to-state mapping, our proposed network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Jungang Chen , Eduardo Gildin , John E. Killough