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Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Space-time graph neural networks (ST-GNNs) are recently developed architectures that learn efficient graph representations of time-varying data. ST-GNNs are particularly useful in multi-agent systems, due to their stability properties and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Samar Hadou , Charilaos Kanatsoulis , Alejandro Ribeiro

In this paper, we introduce a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with fractional time-derivatives, and study the $L_2$-theory of the equations. This class of SPDEs can be used to describe random effects on transport…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Zhen-Qing Chen , Kyeong-Hun Kim , Panki Kim

This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

We consider the problem of learning Stochastic Differential Equations of the form $dX_t = f(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_t)dW_t $ from one sample trajectory. This problem is more challenging than learning deterministic dynamical systems because one…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-28 Matthieu Darcy , Boumediene Hamzi , Giulia Livieri , Houman Owhadi , Peyman Tavallali

While kernel methods and Graph Neural Networks offer complementary strengths, integrating the two has posed challenges in efficiency and scalability. The Graph Neural Tangent Kernel provides a theoretical bridge by interpreting GNNs through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Lin Wang , Shijie Wang , Sirui Huang , Qing Li

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are known to provide accurate predictions and uncertainty estimates even with small amounts of labeled data by capturing similarity between data points through their kernel function. However traditional GP kernels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

Spatial networks are networks whose graph topology is constrained by their embedded spatial space. Understanding the coupled spatial-graph properties is crucial for extracting powerful representations from spatial networks. Therefore,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Zheng Zhang , Sirui Li , Jingcheng Zhou , Junxiang Wang , Abhinav Angirekula , Allen Zhang , Liang Zhao

We propose a novel framework for discovering Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) from data. The proposed approach combines the concepts of stochastic calculus, variational Bayes theory, and sparse learning. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Yogesh Chandrakant Mathpati , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Predicting the labels of graph-structured data is crucial in scientific applications and is often achieved using graph neural networks (GNNs). However, when data is scarce, GNNs suffer from overfitting, leading to poor performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Mathieu Alain , So Takao , Xiaowen Dong , Bastian Rieck , Emmanuel Noutahi

Graph kernels have recently emerged as a promising approach for tackling the graph similarity and learning tasks at the same time. In this paper, we propose a general framework for designing graph kernels. The proposed framework capitalizes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-09 Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Time series are an interesting frontier for kernel-based methods, for the simple reason that there is no kernel designed to represent them and their unique characteristics in full generality. Existing sequential kernels ignore the time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-21 Ahmed Guecioueur , Franz J. Király

The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Emilio Porcu , Philip A. White , Marc G. Genton

We propose a novel Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) framework to address the problem of learning uncertainty-aware representations for graph-structured data. While Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (GNODEs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Richard Bergna , Sergio Calvo-Ordoñez , Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato

Supervised learning has recently garnered significant attention in the field of computational physics due to its ability to effectively extract complex patterns for tasks like solving partial differential equations, or predicting material…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Raphaël Carpintero Perez , Sébastien da Veiga , Josselin Garnier , Brian Staber

A simple, flexible approach to creating expressive priors in Gaussian process (GP) models makes new kernels from a combination of basic kernels, e.g. summing a periodic and linear kernel can capture seasonal variation with a long term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Tim Pearce , Russell Tsuchida , Mohamed Zaki , Alexandra Brintrup , Andy Neely

Spatiotemporal data is prevalent in a wide range of edge devices, such as those used in personal communication and financial transactions. Recent advancements have sparked a growing interest in integrating spatiotemporal analysis with…

In the era of big data, there has been a surge in the availability of data containing rich spatial and temporal information, offering valuable insights into dynamic systems and processes for applications such as weather forecasting, natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Yun Li , Dazhou Yu , Zhenke Liu , Minxing Zhang , Xiaoyun Gong , Liang Zhao

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

This paper presents theoretical advances in the application of the Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach in geostatistics. We show a general approach to construct stationary models related to a wide class of linear SPDEs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Denis Allard , Nicolas Desassis