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We are interested in the estimation and prediction of a parametric model on a short dataset upon which it is expected to overfit and perform badly. To overcome the lack of data (relatively to the dimension of the model) we propose the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-26 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

We propose a simple empirical scaling law that describes load forecasting accuracy at different levels of aggregation. The model is justified based on a simple decomposition of individual consumption patterns. We show that for different…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

Transfer learning, also referred as knowledge transfer, aims at reusing knowledge from a source dataset to a similar target one. While many empirical studies illustrate the benefits of transfer learning, few theoretical results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-19 David Obst , Badih Ghattas , Jairo Cugliari , Georges Oppenheim , Sandra Claudel , Yannig Goude

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

With the booming growth of advanced digital technologies, it has become possible for users as well as distributors of energy to obtain detailed and timely information about the electricity consumption of households. These technologies can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam , Daniel Bonilla Licea , Mounir Ghogho , Abdellatif Kobbane

The key contribution of this paper is to propose a classification into two dimensions of the load forecasting studies to decide which forecasting tools to use in which case. This classification aims to provide a synthetic view of the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Jonathan Dumas , Bertrand Cornélusse

Molecules have a number of distinct properties whose importance and application vary. Often, in reality, labels for some properties are hard to achieve despite their practical importance. A common solution to such data scarcity is to use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Chanhui Lee , Dae-Woong Jeong , Sung Moon Ko , Sumin Lee , Hyunseung Kim , Soorin Yim , Sehui Han , Sungwoong Kim , Sungbin Lim

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

Learning to transfer considers learning solutions to tasks in a such way that relevant knowledge can be transferred from known task solutions to new, related tasks. This is important for general learning, as well as for improving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Janith Petangoda , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Nicholas A. M. Monk

Transfer learning involves taking information and insight from one problem domain and applying it to a new problem domain. Although widely used in practice, theory for transfer learning remains less well-developed. To address this, we prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Jake Williams , Abel Tadesse , Tyler Sam , Huey Sun , George D. Montanez

Long-term load forecast (LTLF) for area distribution feeders is one of the most critical tasks frequently performed in electric distribution utility companies. For a specific planning area, cost-effective system upgrades can only be planned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , Jian Shi , QingXin Shi

Large, pre-trained models are problematic to use in resource constrained applications. Fortunately, task-aware structured pruning methods offer a solution. These approaches reduce model size by dropping structural units like layers and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Lucio Dery , David Grangier , Awni Hannun

Accurate load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the power balance between generators and consumers,particularly with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, which introduce significant intermittent volatility. With the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mingyang Gao , Suyang Zhou , Wei Gu , Zhi Wu , Haiquan Liu , Aihua Zhou

Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark

Data-driven methods -- such as machine learning and time series forecasting -- are widely used for sales forecasting in the food retail domain. However, for newly introduced products insufficient training data is available to train accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Tristan Karb , Niklas Kühl , Robin Hirt , Varvara Glivici-Cotruta

Transfer learning methods start performing poorly when the complexity of the learning task is increased. Most of these methods calculate the cumulative differences of all the matched features and then use them to back-propagate that loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Shirley Kokane , Mostofa Rafid Uddin , Min Xu

Energy system models involve various input data sets representing the generation, consumption and transport infrastructure of electricity. Especially energy system models with a focus on the transmission grid require time series of…

Transfer learning is known to perform efficiently in many applications empirically, yet limited literature reports the mechanism behind the scene. This study establishes both formal derivations and heuristic analysis to formulate the theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Huan-Hsin Tseng , Hsin-Yi Lin , Kuo-Hsuan Hung , Yu Tsao

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

Machine learning is the dominant approach to artificial intelligence, through which computers learn from data and experience. In the framework of supervised learning, a necessity for a computer to learn from data accurately and efficiently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-25 Amir R. Asadi
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