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It is often critical for prediction models to be robust to distributional shifts between training and testing data. From a causal perspective, the challenge is to distinguish the stable causal relationships from the unstable spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Shuxi Zeng , Murat Ali Bayir , Joesph J. Pfeiffer , Denis Charles , Emre Kiciman

The label shift problem refers to the supervised learning setting where the train and test label distributions do not match. Existing work addressing label shift usually assumes access to an \emph{unlabelled} test sample. This sample may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Jingzhao Zhang , Aditya Menon , Andreas Veit , Srinadh Bhojanapalli , Sanjiv Kumar , Suvrit Sra

Class distribution plays an important role in learning deep classifiers. When the proportion of each class in the test set differs from the training set, the performance of classification nets usually degrades. Such a label distribution…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-12 Wenao Ma , Cheng Chen , Shuang Zheng , Jing Qin , Huimao Zhang , Qi Dou

Covariate distribution shift occurs when certain structural features present in the test set are absent from the training set. It is a common type of out-of-distribution (OOD) problem, frequently encountered in real-world graph data with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Fanlong Zeng , Wensheng Gan

Training models that perform well under distribution shifts is a central challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a modeling framework where, in addition to training data, we have partial structural knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Tobias Sutter , Andreas Krause , Daniel Kuhn

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

Symbolic regression algorithms search a space of mathematical expressions for formulas that explain given data. Transformer-based models have emerged as a promising, scalable approach shifting the expensive combinatorial search to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Henrik Voigt , Paul Kahlmeyer , Kai Lawonn , Michael Habeck , Joachim Giesen

The issue of distribution shifts is emerging as a critical concern in graph representation learning. From the perspective of invariant learning and stable learning, a recently well-established paradigm for out-of-distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Yongduo Sui , Qitian Wu , Jiancan Wu , Qing Cui , Longfei Li , Jun Zhou , Xiang Wang , Xiangnan He

Computer vision applications predict on digital images acquired by a camera from physical scenes through light. However, conventional robustness benchmarks rely on perturbations in digitized images, diverging from distribution shifts…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Eunsu Baek , Keondo Park , Jiyoon Kim , Hyung-Sin Kim

Quantification learning deals with the task of estimating the target label distribution under label shift. In this paper, we first present a unifying framework, distribution feature matching (DFM), that recovers as particular instances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Bastien Dussap , Gilles Blanchard , Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

Machine learning systems may encounter unexpected problems when the data distribution changes in the deployment environment. A major reason is that certain combinations of domains and labels are not observed during training but appear in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Yivan Zhang , Jindong Wang , Xing Xie , Masashi Sugiyama

From the sampling of data to the initialisation of parameters, randomness is ubiquitous in modern Machine Learning practice. Understanding the statistical fluctuations engendered by the different sources of randomness in prediction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Bruno Loureiro , Cédric Gerbelot , Maria Refinetti , Gabriele Sicuro , Florent Krzakala

Although machine learning models typically experience a drop in performance on out-of-distribution data, accuracies on in- versus out-of-distribution data are widely observed to follow a single linear trend when evaluated across a testbed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Anders Andreassen , Yasaman Bahri , Behnam Neyshabur , Rebecca Roelofs

Learning representations that capture the underlying data generating process is a key problem for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. One key property for robustness which the learned representation should capture and which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Mathieu Chevalley , Charlotte Bunne , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

Learning models have been shown to rely on spurious correlations between non-predictive features and the associated labels in the training data, with negative implications on robustness, bias and fairness. In this work, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Simone Bombari , Marco Mondelli

Practitioners often face the challenge of deploying prediction models in new environments with shifted distributions of covariates and responses. With observational data, such shifts are often driven by unobserved confounding, and can in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Kulunu Dharmakeerthi , YoonHaeng Hur , Tengyuan Liang

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models can become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

We study linear regression under covariate shift, where the marginal distribution over the input covariates differs in the source and the target domains, while the conditional distribution of the output given the input covariates is similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Jingfeng Wu , Difan Zou , Vladimir Braverman , Quanquan Gu , Sham M. Kakade

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Recent work has shown that Transformers can perform in-context learning for linear regression under restrictive assumptions, including i.i.d. data, Gaussian noise, and Gaussian regression coefficients. However, real-world data often violate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Hoang T. H. Cao , Hai D. V. Trinh , Tho Quan , Lan V. Truong