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Out-of-distribution (OoD) generalization occurs when representation learning encounters a distribution shift. This occurs frequently in practice when training and testing data come from different environments. Covariate shift is a type of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Simon Zhang , Ryan P. DeMilt , Kun Jin , Cathy H. Xia

Learning from weak, proxy, or relative supervision is common when ground-truth labels are unavailable, but robustness under distribution shift remains poorly understood because the supervision mechanism itself may change across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Mehrdad Shoeibi , Elias Hossain , Ivan Garibay , Niloofar Yousefi

Generalization remains a central yet unresolved challenge in deep learning, particularly the ability to predict a model's performance beyond its training distribution using quantities available prior to test-time evaluation. Building on the…

Distributionally robust policy learning aims to find a policy that performs well under the worst-case distributional shift, and yet most existing methods for robust policy learning consider the worst-case joint distribution of the covariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jingyuan Wang , Zhimei Ren , Ruohan Zhan , Zhengyuan Zhou

As input data distributions evolve, the predictive performance of machine learning models tends to deteriorate. In the past, predictive performance was considered the key indicator to monitor. However, explanation aspects have come to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Carlos Mougan , Klaus Broelemann , Gjergji Kasneci , Thanassis Tiropanis , Steffen Staab

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Fairness in machine learning has attracted increasing attention in recent years. The fairness methods improving algorithmic fairness for in-distribution data may not perform well under distribution shifts. In this paper, we first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Zhimeng Jiang , Xiaotian Han , Hongye Jin , Guanchu Wang , Rui Chen , Na Zou , Xia Hu

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

Many machine learning models appear to deploy effortlessly under distribution shift, and perform well on a target distribution that is considerably different from the training distribution. Yet, learning theory of distribution shift bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Robi Bhattacharjee , Nick Rittler , Kamalika Chaudhuri

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Distribution shift is a common situation in machine learning tasks, where the data used for training a model is different from the data the model is applied to in the real world. This issue arises across multiple technical settings: from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolas Acevedo , Carmen Cortez , Chris Brooks , Rene Kizilcec , Renzhe Yu

Successful deep learning models often involve training neural network architectures that contain more parameters than the number of training samples. Such overparametrized models have been extensively studied in recent years, and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Hamed Hassani , Adel Javanmard

We study how robust current ImageNet models are to distribution shifts arising from natural variations in datasets. Most research on robustness focuses on synthetic image perturbations (noise, simulated weather artifacts, adversarial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Rohan Taori , Achal Dave , Vaishaal Shankar , Nicholas Carlini , Benjamin Recht , Ludwig Schmidt

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

In recent years, machine learning models have achieved success based on the independently and identically distributed assumption. However, this assumption can be easily violated in real-world applications, leading to the Out-of-Distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Yifan Hao , Yong Lin , Difan Zou , Tong Zhang

This paper studies kernel ridge regression in high dimensions under covariate shifts and analyzes the role of importance re-weighting. We first derive the asymptotic expansion of high dimensional kernels under covariate shifts. By a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Yihang Chen , Fanghui Liu , Taiji Suzuki , Volkan Cevher

Large-scale population-level datasets, such as the UK Biobank and the All of Us Research Program, often lack covariates needed for a specific analysis, such as genetic or lifestyle measures, while related studies measure them. This creates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Huali Zhao , Tianying Wang

Shifts in data distribution can substantially harm the performance of clinical AI models and lead to misdiagnosis. Hence, various methods have been developed to detect the presence of such shifts at deployment time. However, the root causes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Mélanie Roschewitz , Raghav Mehta , Charles Jones , Ben Glocker

Meta-learning has proven to be successful for few-shot learning across the regression, classification, and reinforcement learning paradigms. Recent approaches have adopted Bayesian interpretations to improve gradient-based meta-learners by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Amrith Setlur , Saket Dingliwal , Barnabas Poczos

Covariate shift has been shown to sharply degrade both predictive accuracy and the calibration of uncertainty estimates for deep learning models. This is worrying, because covariate shift is prevalent in a wide range of real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Zachary Nado , Shreyas Padhy , D. Sculley , Alexander D'Amour , Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Jasper Snoek
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