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This paper systematically explores the advancements in adaptive trip route planning and travel time estimation (TTE) through Artificial Intelligence (AI). With the increasing complexity of urban transportation systems, traditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Nikil Jayasuriya , Deshan Sumanathilaka

This paper presents a new algorithm, Evolutionary eXploration of Augmenting Memory Models (EXAMM), which is capable of evolving recurrent neural networks (RNNs) using a wide variety of memory structures, such as Delta-RNN, GRU, LSTM, MGU…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Alexander Ororbia , Ahmed Ahmed Elsaid , Travis Desell

We address the problem of defining early warning indicators of critical transition. To this purpose, we fit the relevant time series through a class of linear models, known as Auto-Regressive Moving-Average (ARMA(p,q)) models. We define two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-18 Davide Faranda , Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons , Bérengère Dubrulle

Disseminating accurate travel time information to road users helps achieve traffic equilibrium and reduce traffic congestion. The deployment of Connected Vehicles technology will provide unique opportunities for the implementation of travel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Saleh Mousa , Sherif Ishak

This study presents a comprehensive methodology for modeling and forecasting the historical time series of active fire spots detected by the AQUA\_M-T satellite in the Amazon, Brazil. The approach employs a mixed Recurrent Neural Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ramon Tavares , Ricardo Olinda

Autoregressive (AR) models remain widely used in time series analysis due to their interpretability, but convencional parameter estimation methods can be computationally expensive and prone to convergence issues. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-20 Anaísa Lucena , Ana Martins , Armando J. Pinho , Sónia Gouveia

In this research paper, I have performed time series analysis and forecasted the monthly value of housing starts for the year 2019 using several econometric methods - ARIMA(X), VARX, (G)ARCH and machine learning algorithms - artificial…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Sudiksha Joshi

Autoregressive models (ARMs) currently hold state-of-the-art performance in likelihood-based modeling of image and audio data. Generally, neural network based ARMs are designed to allow fast inference, but sampling from these models is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Auke Wiggers , Emiel Hoogeboom

Training deep recurrent neural network (RNN) architectures is complicated due to the increased network complexity. This disrupts the learning of higher order abstracts using deep RNN. In case of feed-forward networks training deep…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Murali Karthick Baskar , Martin Karafiat , Lukas Burget , Karel Vesely , Frantisek Grezl , Jan Honza Cernocky

The design of multitarget rendezvous missions requires a method to quickly and accurately approximate the optimal transfer between any two rendezvous targets. In this paper, a deep neural network (DNN)-based method is proposed for quickly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Yue-he Zhu , Ya-zhong Luo

Auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) models are ubiquitous forecasting tools. Parsimony in such models is highly valued for their interpretability and computational tractability, and as such the identification of model orders remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-27 Yann McLatchie , Asael Alonzo Matamoros , David Kohns , Aki Vehtari

In todays global economy, accuracy in predicting macro-economic parameters such as the foreign the exchange rate or at least estimating the trend correctly is of key importance for any future investment. In recent times, the use of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-25 Manav Kaushik , A K Giri

In this paper, we address the problem of adaptive learning for autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model in the quaternion domain. By transforming the original learning problem into a full information optimization task without explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-29 Xiaokun Pu , Chunguang Li

It is unquestionable that time series forecasting is of paramount importance in many fields. The most used machine learning models to address time series forecasting tasks are Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). Typically, those models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Rohaifa Khaldi , Abdellatif El Afia , Raddouane Chiheb , Siham Tabik

Discrete-time input/output models, also called infinite impulse response (IIR) models or autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models, are useful for online identification as they can be efficiently updated using recursive least squares…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-18 Brian Lai , Dennis S. Bernstein

Wildfire modelling is an attempt to reproduce fire behaviour. Through active fire analysis, it is possible to reproduce a dynamical process, such as wildfires, with limited duration time series data. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

In this bachelor thesis, we show how four different machine learning methods (Long Short-Term Memory, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor) perform compared to already successfully applied trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Danijel Jevtic , Romain Deleze , Joerg Osterrieder

The advantage of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) in learning dependencies between time-series data has distinguished RNNs from other deep learning models. Recently, many advances are proposed in this emerging field. However, there is a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Hojjat Salehinejad

Off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction such as regularized logistic regression cannot exploit the information of time-varying features without previously using an aggregation procedure of such sequential data. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 C. Gary Mena , Arno De Caigny , Kristof Coussement , Koen W. De Bock , Stefan Lessmann

We study the predictive power of autoregressive moving average models when forecasting demand in two shared computational networks, PlanetLab and Tycoon. Demand in these networks is very volatile, and predictive techniques to plan usage in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2007-11-15 Thomas Sandholm
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