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This study presents the development and application of a scalable non-ergodic ground motion model (NGMM) for the Los Angeles area. The NGMM is trained and validated on physics-based simulated ground-motion data from a recent Statewide…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jinyan Zhao , Grigorios Lavrentiadis , Domniki Asimaki

A new non-ergodic ground-motion model (GMM) for effective amplitude spectral ($EAS$) values for California is presented in this study. $EAS$, which is defined in Goulet et al. (2018), is a smoothed rotation-independent Fourier amplitude…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-25 Grigorios Lavrentiadis , Norman A. Abrahamson , Nicolas M. Kuehn

Recent developments in non-ergodic ground-motion models (GMMs) explicitly model systematic spatial variations in source, site, and path effects, reducing standard deviation to 30-40% of ergodic models and enabling more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Maxime Lacour , Pu Ren , Rie Nakata , Nori Nakata , Michael Mahoney

A new approach for creating a non-ergodic $PSA$ ground-motion model (GMM) is presented which account for the magnitude dependence of the non-ergodic effects. In this approach, the average $PSA$ scaling is controlled by an ergodic $PSA$ GMM,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Grigorios Lavrentiadis , Norman A. Abrahamson

Growth mixture models (GMMs) incorporate both conventional random effects growth modeling and latent trajectory classes as in finite mixture modeling; therefore, they offer a way to handle the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Yuhong Wei , Yang Tang , Emilie Shireman , Paul D. McNicholas , Douglas L. Steinley

A partially non-ergodic ground-motion prediction equation is estimated for Europe and the Middle East. Therefore, a hierarchical model is presented that accounts for regional differences. For this purpose, the scaling of ground-motion…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-03-30 Nicolas M. Kuehn , Frank Scherbaum

Gaussian processes (GPs) are very widely used for modeling of unknown functions or surfaces in applications ranging from regression to classification to spatial processes. Although there is an increasingly vast literature on applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-28 Lizhen Lin , Mu Niu , Pokman Cheung , David Dunson

Estimates of seismic wave speeds in the Earth (seismic velocity models) are key input parameters to earthquake simulations for ground motion prediction. Owing to the non-uniqueness of the seismic inverse problem, typically many velocity…

The recently proposed non-Gaussian Mat\'{e}rn random field models, generated through Stochastic Partial differential equations (SPDEs), are extended by considering the class of Generalized Hyperbolic processes as noise forcings. The models…

Applications · Statistics 2013-07-25 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Predicting high-fidelity ground motions for future earthquakes is crucial for seismic hazard assessment and infrastructure resilience. Conventional empirical simulations suffer from sparse sensor distribution and geographically localized…

We develop a site-specific ground-motion model (GMM) for crustal earthquakes in Japan that can directly model the probability distribution of ground motion acceleration time histories based on generative adversarial networks (GANs). The…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-01 Yuma Matsumoto , Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Takenori Hida , Tatsuya Itoi

Earth observation (EO) by airborne and satellite remote sensing and in-situ observations play a fundamental role in monitoring our planet. In the last decade, machine learning and Gaussian processes (GPs) in particular has attained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Gustau Camps-Valls , Dino Sejdinovic , Jakob Runge , Markus Reichstein

In this study, we address the challenge of constructing continuous three-dimensional (3D) models that accurately represent uncertain surfaces, derived from noisy and incomplete LiDAR scanning data. Building upon our prior work, which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-27 Qianqian Zou , Monika Sester

Computational models of complex physical systems often rely on simplifying assumptions which inevitably introduce model error, with consequent predictive errors. Given data on model observables, the estimation of parameterized model-error…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Mridula Kuppa , Khachik Sargsyan , Marco Panesi , Habib N. Najm

One essential goal of constructing coarse-grained molecular dynamics (CGMD) models is to accurately predict non-equilibrium processes beyond the atomistic scale. While a CG model can be constructed by projecting the full dynamics onto a set…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Liyao Lyu , Huan Lei

Recent advancements in data-driven aeroelasticity have been driven by the wealth of data available in the wind engineering practice, especially in modeling aerodynamic forces. Despite progress, challenges persist in addressing free-stream…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-14 Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal , Allan McRobie

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSMs) are a non-parametric model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They become increasingly popular in data-driven modeling approaches, i.e. when no first-order physics-based models are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Gaussian Processes (GPs) have been widely used in machine learning to model distributions over functions, with applications including multi-modal regression, time-series prediction, and few-shot learning. GPs are particularly useful in the…

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-18 Aurore Laurendeau , Fabrice Cotton , Luis Fabian Bonilla
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