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Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a sequence of random elements $f(X_1, \theta)$ $, \ldots, $ $f(X_n, \theta)$ where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $S=(X_1, \ldots, X_n)$ are independent random variables, and $\theta$ is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Kyoungseok Jang , Kwang-Sung Jun , Ilja Kuzborskij , Francesco Orabona

Modern neural networks have found to be miscalibrated in terms of confidence calibration, i.e., their predicted confidence scores do not reflect the observed accuracy or precision. Recent work has introduced methods for post-hoc confidence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Fabian Küppers , Jan Kronenberger , Jonas Schneider , Anselm Haselhoff

We consider fine-tuning a pretrained deep neural network on a target task. We study the generalization properties of fine-tuning to understand the problem of overfitting, which has often been observed (e.g., when the target dataset is small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Haotian Ju , Dongyue Li , Hongyang R. Zhang

Neural networks hold great potential to act as approximate models of nonlinear dynamical systems, with the resulting neural approximations enabling verification and control of such systems. However, in safety-critical contexts, the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Nikolaus Vertovec , Francesco Fabiano , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

In most real-world applications of artificial intelligence, the distributions of the data and the goals of the learners tend to change over time. The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning framework, which underpins most machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yuxin Bai , Cecelia Shuai , Ashwin De Silva , Siyu Yu , Pratik Chaudhari , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) place distributions over the weights of a neural network to model uncertainty in the data and the network's prediction. We consider the problem of verifying safety when running a Bayesian neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Mathias Lechner , Đorđe Žikelić , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Thomas A. Henzinger

We formulate weighted graph clustering as a prediction problem: given a subset of edge weights we analyze the ability of graph clustering to predict the remaining edge weights. This formulation enables practical and theoretical comparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-09-03 Yevgeny Seldin

Uncertainty quantification is essential in safety-critical settings--from autonomous driving to aviation, finance, and health--where decisions must rely on conservative bounds rather than point estimates. Predictor-level intervals (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Ruirui Liu , Xuejie Hou , Yiping Jiang , Hui Ren

The willingness to trust predictions formulated by automatic algorithms is key in a vast number of domains. However, a vast number of deep architectures are only able to formulate predictions without an associated uncertainty. In this…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Matteo Ferrante , Tommaso Boccato , Nicola Toschi

In this paper, a mathematical theory of learning is proposed that has many parallels with information theory. We consider Vapnik's General Setting of Learning in which the learning process is defined to be the act of selecting a hypothesis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-08 Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

Deep nets generalize well despite having more parameters than the number of training samples. Recent works try to give an explanation using PAC-Bayes and Margin-based analyses, but do not as yet result in sample complexity bounds better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Sanjeev Arora , Rong Ge , Behnam Neyshabur , Yi Zhang

Probabilistic verification problems of neural networks are concerned with formally analysing the output distribution of a neural network under a probability distribution of the inputs. Examples of probabilistic verification problems include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 David Boetius , Stefan Leue , Tobias Sutter

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been advancing at a fast pace and it is now poised for deployment in a wide range of applications, such as autonomous systems, medical diagnosis and natural language processing. Early adoption of AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Marta Kwiatkowska , Xiyue Zhang

When utilising PAC-Bayes theory for risk certification, it is usually necessary to estimate and bound the Gibbs risk of the PAC-Bayes posterior. Many works in the literature employ a method for this which requires a large number of passes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Felix Biggs

We address the problem of machine unlearning, where the goal is to remove the influence of specific training data from a model upon request, motivated by privacy concerns and regulatory requirements such as the "right to be forgotten."…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Anastasia Koloskova , Youssef Allouah , Animesh Jha , Rachid Guerraoui , Sanmi Koyejo

Classifiers learnt from data are increasingly being used as components in systems where safety is a critical concern. In this work, we present a formal notion of safety for classifiers via constraints called safe-ordering constraints. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Klas Leino , Aymeric Fromherz , Ravi Mangal , Matt Fredrikson , Bryan Parno , Corina Păsăreanu

This paper introduces a new principled approach for off-policy learning in contextual bandits. Unlike previous work, our approach does not derive learning principles from intractable or loose bounds. We analyse the problem through the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Otmane Sakhi , Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Chopin

Bayesian networks are basic graphical models, used widely both in statistics and artificial intelligence. These statistical models of conditional independence structure are described by acyclic directed graphs whose nodes correspond to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-12-01 Raymond Hemmecke , Silvia Lindner , Milan Studený