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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a popular technique in Bayesian statistical modeling. They have long been used to obtain samples from posterior distributions, but recent research has focused on the scalability of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-02 Nicholas A. Johnson , Frank O. Kuehnel , Ali Nasiri Amini

In this paper, we investigate combining blocking and collapsing -- two widely used strategies for improving the accuracy of Gibbs sampling -- in the context of probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). We show that combining them is not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Deepak Venugopal , Vibhav Gogate

Sampling from the full posterior distribution of high-dimensional non-linear, non-Gaussian latent dynamical models presents significant computational challenges. While Particle Gibbs (also known as conditional sequential Monte Carlo) is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-05 Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is a widely recognised as an efficient method for sampling a specified posterior distribution. However, when the posterior is multi-modal, conventional MCMC algorithms either tend to become…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-19 Yi-Ming Hu , Martin Hendry , Ik Siong Heng

This paper introduces a concept of approximate spectral gap to analyze the mixing time of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for which the usual spectral gap is degenerate or almost degenerate. We use the idea to analyze a class of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-26 Yves F. Atchadé

Component-wise MCMC algorithms, including Gibbs and conditional Metropolis-Hastings samplers, are commonly used for sampling from multivariate probability distributions. A long-standing question regarding Gibbs algorithms is whether a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

We present a polynomial-time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for estimating the partition function of the antiferromagnetic Ising model on any line graph. The analysis of the algorithm exploits the "winding" technology devised by…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Martin Dyer , Marc Heinrich , Mark Jerrum , Haiko Müller

Finding a ground state of a given Hamiltonian is an important but hard problem. One of the potential methods is to use a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to sample the Gibbs distribution whose highest peaks correspond to the ground states.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Satoshi Handa , Katsuhiro Kamakura , Yoshinori Kamijima , Akira Sakai

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Performing reliable Bayesian inference on a big data scale is becoming a keystone in the modern era of machine learning. A workhorse class of methods to achieve this task are Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and their design to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-21 Vincent Plassier , Maxime Vono , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

A central problem in computational statistics is to convert a procedure for sampling combinatorial from an objects into a procedure for counting those objects, and vice versa. Weconsider sampling problems coming from *Gibbs distributions*,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 David G. Harris , Vladimir Kolmogorov

This paper analyzes the factorizability and geometry of transition matrices of multivariate Markov chains. Specifically, we demonstrate that the induced chains on factors of a product space can be regarded as information projections with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Michael C. H. Choi , Youjia Wang , Geoffrey Wolfer

Flexible district heating grids form an important part of future, low-carbon energy systems. We examine probabilistic state estimation in such grids, i.e., we aim to estimate the posterior probability distribution over all grid state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Andreas Bott , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

Gibbs sampling is a Markov chain Monte Carlo technique commonly used for estimating marginal distributions. To speed up Gibbs sampling, there has recently been interest in parallelizing it by executing asynchronously. While empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-20 Christopher De Sa , Kunle Olukotun , Christopher Ré

Markov chain (MC) algorithms are ubiquitous in machine learning and statistics and many other disciplines. Typically, these algorithms can be formulated as acceptance rejection methods. In this work we present a novel estimator applicable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Ingmar Schuster , Ilja Klebanov