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Bayesian estimation methods for sparse blind deconvolution problems conventionally employ Bernoulli-Gaussian (BG) prior for modeling sparse sequences and utilize Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the estimation of unknowns.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Burak Cevat Civek , Emre Ertin

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Detecting the angles and orbits of remote targets precisely has been playing crucial roles in astrophysical research. Due to the resolution limitations imposed by the Airy disk in a single telescope, optical interferometric schemes with at…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-12 Yi-Xin Shen , Zhou-Kai Cao , Jian Leng , Xiang-Bin Wang

This paper presents a novel Integer Programming (IP) approach for discovering the Markov Equivalent Class (MEC) of Bayesian Networks (BNs) through observational data. The MEC-IP algorithm utilizes a unique clique-focusing strategy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Abdelmonem Elrefaey , Rong Pan

Despite the promise of Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) methods in astronomy, the adaptation of NPE into the routine inference workflow has been slow. We identify three critical issues: the need for custom featurizer networks tailored to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-25 Keming Zhang , Joshua S. Bloom , Stéfan van der Walt , Nina Hernitschek

We continue studies of the uncertainty quantification problem in emission tomographies such as PET or SPECT when additional multimodal data (e.g., anatomical MRI images) are available. To solve the aforementioned problem we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Fedor Goncharov , Éric Barat , Thomas Dautremer

In the near-future, dedicated telescopes observe Earth-like exoplanets in reflected light, allowing their characterization. Because of the huge distances, every exoplanet will be a single pixel, but temporal variations in its spectral flux…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-10 K. Meinke , D. M. Stam , P. M. Visser

Bayesian posterior distributions naturally represent parameter uncertainty informed by data. However, when the parameter space is complex, as in many nonparametric settings where it is infinite-dimensional or combinatorially large, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

We derive a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampler based on following ray paths in a medium where the refractive index $n(x)$ is a function of the desired likelihood $\mathcal{L}(x)$. The sampling method propagates rays at constant speed through…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-31 Peter Behroozi

Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models provide elegant methods for discovering underlying latent features within a data set, but inference in such models can be slow. We exploit the fact that completely random measures, which commonly used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-17 Avinava Dubey , Michael Minyi Zhang , Eric P. Xing , Sinead A. Williamson

This paper proposes a novel approach to generate samples from target distributions that are difficult to sample from using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Traditional MCMC algorithms often face slow convergence due to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-11 Sandro Dias Pinto Vitenti , Eduardo J. Barroso

We consider the application of approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) in the context of medical imaging data. We consider the parameter estimation of compartmental models in PET imaging analysis, and provide a simple ABC algorithm for its…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-01 Y. Fan , S. R. Meikle , G. Angelis , A. Sitek

We consider parallel global optimization of derivative-free expensive-to-evaluate functions, and propose an efficient method based on stochastic approximation for implementing a conceptual Bayesian optimization algorithm proposed by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-07 Jialei Wang , Scott C. Clark , Eric Liu , Peter I. Frazier

We apply the Bayesian framework to assess the presence of a correlation between two quantities. To do so, we estimate the probability distribution of the parameter of interest, $\rho$, characterizing the strength of the correlation. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-01 P. Figueira , J. P. Faria , V. Zh. Adibekyan , M. Oshagh , N. C. Santos

Embarrassingly parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) exploits parallel computing to scale Bayesian inference to large datasets by using a two-step approach. First, MCMC is run in parallel on (sub)posteriors defined on data partitions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-31 Daniel Augusto de Souza , Diego Mesquita , Samuel Kaski , Luigi Acerbi

We introduce a discrete-space analogue of the No-U-Turn sampler on the symmetric group $S_n$, yielding a locally adaptive and reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo method for $\mathrm{Mallows}(d,\sigma_0)$. Here $d:S_n\times S_n\to[0,\infty)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Zichu Wang

Accurate visualization of double star astrometric data is essential for effective analysis and interpretation. This article presents a Python toolkit designed for astronomers who need to plot measurements from diverse sources -- historical,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-21 Xinyue Wang

I present an extension of the phase distance correlation periodogram to two-dimensional astrometric data. I show that this technique is more suitable than previously proposed approaches to detect eccentric Keplerian orbits, and that it…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-01 Shay Zucker

Aims. We developed a six-part collisional evolution model of the main asteroid belt (MB) and used it to study the contribution of the different regions of the MB to the near-earth asteroids (NEAs). Methods. We built a statistical code…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-01 P. S. Zain , G. C. de Elía , R. P. Di Sisto

In Bayesian inference, we are usually interested in the numerical approximation of integrals that are posterior expectations or marginal likelihoods (a.k.a., Bayesian evidence). In this paper, we focus on the computation of the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-05 F. Llorente , L. Martino , D. Delgado