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Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are discovered daily, mainly by few major surveys, nevertheless many of them remain unobserved for years, even decades. Even so, there is room for new discoveries, including those submitted by smaller projects…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-31 D. Copandean , O. Vaduvescu , D. Gorgan

We describe a simple and efficient Python code to perform Bayesian forecasting for gravitational waves (GW) produced by Extreme-Mass-Ratio-Inspiral systems (EMRIs). The code runs on GPUs for an efficient parallelised computation of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-01-22 Ippocratis D. Saltas , Roberto Oliveri

We propose a new Bayesian tracking and parameter learning algorithm for non-linear non-Gaussian multiple target tracking (MTT) models. We design a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-28 Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Sinan Yıldırım

orbitize! is an open-source, object-oriented software package for fitting the orbits of directly-imaged objects. It packages the Orbits for the Impatient (OFTI) algorithm and a parallel-tempered Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm…

Sampling from a complex distribution $\pi$ and approximating its intractable normalizing constant Z are challenging problems. In this paper, a novel family of importance samplers (IS) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers is derived.…

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

Interpreting the observations of exoplanet atmospheres to constrain physical and chemical properties is typically done using Bayesian retrieval techniques. Because these methods require many model computations, a compromise is made between…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-10 Francisco Ardévol Martínez , Michiel Min , Daniela Huppenkothen , Inga Kamp , Paul I. Palmer

Easy Parameter Inference in Cosmology (EPIC) is another Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler for Cosmology. It is implemented in Python and provides Bayesian parameter inference and model comparison based on the Bayesian evidence. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-19 Rafael J. F. Marcondes

We carry out a Bayesian analysis of dark matter (DM) direct detection data to determine particle model parameters using the Truncated Marginal Neural Ratio Estimation (TMNRE) machine learning technique. TMNRE avoids an explicit calculation…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-01-17 David Cerdeno , Martin de los Rios , Andres D. Perez

We describe a Bayesian sampling model for linking and constraining orbit models from angular observations of "streaks" in optical telescope images. Our algorithm is particularly suited to situations where the observation times are small…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Michael D. Schneider

The capability of the Terrestrial Planet Finder Interferometer (TPF-I) for planetary signal extraction, including both detection and spectral characterization, can be optimized by taking proper account of instrumental characteristics and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 K. A. Marsh , T. Velusamy , B. Ware

GNM: The MCMC Jagger. A rocking awesome sampler. This python package is an affine invariant Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler based on the dynamic Gauss-Newton-Metropolis (GNM) algorithm. The GNM algorithm is specialized in sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-13 Mehmet Ugurbil

We introduce a framework for efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms targeting discrete-valued high-dimensional distributions, such as posterior distributions in Bayesian variable selection (BVS) problems. We show that many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Xitong Liang , Samuel Livingstone , Jim Griffin

Parallel tempering (PT) methods are a popular class of Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes used to sample complex high-dimensional probability distributions. They rely on a collection of $N$ interacting auxiliary chains targeting tempered…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-28 Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We introduce a novel approach to boost the efficiency of the importance nested sampling (INS) technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation using deep learning. Unlike rejection-based sampling methods such as vanilla nested…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-30 Johannes U. Lange

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

Transiting exoplanet parameter estimation from time-series photometry and Doppler spectroscopy is fundamental to study planets' internal structures and compositions. Here we present the code pyaneti, a powerful and user-friendly software…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-19 O. Barragán , D. Gandolfi , G. Antoniciello

pocoMC is a Python package for accelerated Bayesian inference in astronomy and cosmology. The code is designed to sample efficiently from posterior distributions with non-trivial geometry, including strong multimodality and non-linearity.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Minas Karamanis , David Nabergoj , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , Uros Seljak

We obtain full information on the orbital parameters by combining radial velocity and astrometric measurements by means of Bayesian inference. We sample the parameter probability densities of orbital model parameters with a Markov chain…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 M. Tuomi , S. Kotiranta , M. Kaasalainen