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Searching for new effective risk factors on stock returns is an important research topic in asset pricing. Factor modeling is an active research topic in statistics and econometrics, with many new advances. However, these new methods have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-27 Xialu Liu , John Guerard , Rong Chen , Ruey Tsay

We address a portfolio selection problem that combines active (outperformance) and passive (tracking) objectives using techniques from convex analysis. We assume a general semimartingale market model where the assets' growth rate processes…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-19 Ali Al-Aradi , Sebastian Jaimungal

We present a novel factor analysis method that can be applied to the discovery of common factors shared among trajectories in multivariate time series data. These factors satisfy a precedence-ordering property: certain factors are recruited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-05-10 Arnau Tibau Puig , Alfred O. Hero

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Factor models have become a common and valued tool for understanding the risks associated with an investing strategy. In this report we describe Exabel's factor model, we quantify the fraction of the variability of the returns explained by…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-24 Øyvind Grotmol , Michael Scheuerer , Kjersti Aas , Martin Jullum

We use the Grossman \& Stiglitz (1980) framework to build a reference portfolio for uninformed investors and employ this portfolio to assess the performance of actively managed equity mutual funds. We propose an empirical methodology to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-06 Radu Burlacu , Patrice Fontaine , Sonia Jimenez-Garcès

Persistence is studied in a financial context by mapping the time evolution of the values of the shares quoted on the London Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 index (FTSE 100) onto Ising spins. By following the time dependence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Jain , P. Buckley

We review the recently introduced concept of variety of a financial portfolio and we sketch its importance for risk control purposes. The empirical behaviour of variety, correlation, exceedance correlation and asymmetry of the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

The present study introduce the human capital component to the Fama and French five-factor model proposing an equilibrium six-factor asset pricing model. The study employs an aggregate of four sets of portfolios mimicking size and industry…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-19 Rahul Roy , Santhakumar Shijin

We derive a specific functional form for factor alpha decay -- hyperbolic decay alpha(t) = K/(1+lambda*t) -- from a game-theoretic equilibrium model, and test it against linear and exponential alternatives. Using eight Fama-French factors…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Chorok Lee

Beta-sorted portfolios -- portfolios comprised of assets with similar covariation to selected risk factors -- are a popular tool in empirical finance to analyze models of (conditional) expected returns. Despite their widespread use, little…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-12 Matias D. Cattaneo , Richard K. Crump , Weining Wang

In the field of quantitative finance, volatility models, such as ARCH, GARCH, FIGARCH, SV, EWMA, play the key role in risk and portfolio management. Meanwhile, factor investing is more and more famous since mid of 20 century. CAPM, Fama…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-25 Ke Zhang

We use multi-class machine learning classifiers to identify the stocks that outperform or underperform other stocks. The resulting long-short portfolios achieve annual Sharpe ratios of 1.67 (value-weighted) and 3.35 (equal-weighted), with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-24 Yang Bai , Kuntara Pukthuanthong

The purpose of this paper is to test the time-invariance of the beta coefficients estimated by the Adaptive Multi-Factor (AMF) model. The AMF model is implied by the generalized arbitrage pricing theory (GAPT), which implies constant beta…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Liao Zhu , Robert A. Jarrow , Martin T. Wells

Determination of the correct mix of dividend and retained earnings and its effect on profitability has been a subject of controversy in financial management literature. This paper seeks to contribute to the ongoing debate by examining the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-18 Suresh N , Pooja M

Portfolio management problems are often divided into two types: active and passive, where the objective is to outperform and track a preselected benchmark, respectively. Here, we formulate and solve a dynamic asset allocation problem that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Ali Al-Aradi , Sebastian Jaimungal

We design a portfolio construction framework and implement an active investment strategy utilizing momentum and trend-following signals across multiple asset classes and asset class risk factors. We quantify the performance of this strategy…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-12 Joseph Lu , Randall R Rojas , Fiona C. Yeung , Patrick D. Convery

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

This paper investigates the time-varying risk-premium relation of the Chinese stock markets within the framework of cross-sectional momentum and contrarian effects by adopting the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the French-Fama three factor…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 H. -L. Shi , W. -X. Zhou

It has been widely observed that capitalization-weighted indexes can be beaten by surprisingly simple, systematic investment strategies. Indeed, in the U.S. stock market, equal-weighted portfolios, random-weighted portfolios, and other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-12 Adrian Banner , Robert Fernholz , Vassilios Papathanakos , Johannes Ruf , David Schofield