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We propose Echo State Networks (ESNs) to predict the statistics of extreme events in a turbulent flow. We train the ESNs on small datasets that lack information about the extreme events. We asses whether the networks are able to extrapolate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-13 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

We propose a physics-informed Echo State Network (ESN) to predict the evolution of chaotic systems. Compared to conventional ESNs, the physics-informed ESNs are trained to solve supervised learning tasks while ensuring that their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-28 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

We explore the influence of precision of the data and the algorithm for the simulation of chaotic dynamics by neural networks techniques. For this purpose, we simulate the Lorenz system with different precisions using three different neural…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-09 S. Bompas , B. Georgeot , D. Guéry-Odelin

Study of dynamical systems using partial state observation is an important problem due to its applicability to many real-world systems. We address the problem by studying an echo state network (ESN) framework with partial state input with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-06 Ajit Mahata , Reetish Padhi , Amit Apte

We propose a physics-informed Echo State Network (ESN) to predict the evolution of chaotic systems. Compared to conventional ESNs, the physics-informed ESNs are trained to solve supervised learning tasks while ensuring that their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

An approach to the time-accurate prediction of chaotic solutions is by learning temporal patterns from data. Echo State Networks (ESNs), which are a class of Reservoir Computing, can accurately predict the chaotic dynamics well beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Forecasting stock and cryptocurrency prices is challenging due to high volatility and non-stationarity, influenced by factors like economic changes and market sentiment. Previous research shows that Echo State Networks (ESNs) can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Mansi Sharma , Enrico Sartor , Marc Cavazza , Helmut Prendinger

We show that a neural network originally designed for language processing can learn the dynamical rules of a stochastic system by observation of a single dynamical trajectory of the system, and can accurately predict its emergent behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Corneel Casert , Isaac Tamblyn , Stephen Whitelam

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are non-linear dynamic systems. Previous work believes that RNN may suffer from the phenomenon of chaos, where the system is sensitive to initial states and unpredictable in the long run. In this paper,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-04-30 Pourya Vakilipourtakalou , Lili Mou

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are a class of single layer recurrent neural networks that have enjoyed recent attention. In this paper we prove that a suitable ESN, trained on a series of measurements of an invertible dynamical system, induces…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-19 Allen G Hart , James L Hook , Jonathan H P Dawes

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

We investigate uncertainty estimation and multimodality via the non-deterministic predictions of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) in fluid simulations. To this end, we deploy BNNs in three challenging experimental test-cases of increasing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-04 Maximilian Mueller , Robin Greif , Frank Jenko , Nils Thuerey

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become remarkably successful in data prediction, and have even been used to predict future actions based on limited input. This raises the question: do these systems actually "understand" the event similar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Hoe Sung Ryu , Uijong Ju , Christian Wallraven

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

In this paper, the prediction capabilities of recurrent neural networks are assessed in the low-order model of near-wall turbulence by Moehlis {\it et al.} (New J. Phys. {\bf 6}, 56, 2004). Our results show that it is possible to obtain…

Humans and animals have a rich and flexible understanding of the physical world, which enables them to infer the underlying dynamical trajectories of objects and events, plausible future states, and use that to plan and anticipate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Aran Nayebi , Rishi Rajalingham , Mehrdad Jazayeri , Guangyu Robert Yang

Among the various architectures of Recurrent Neural Networks, Echo State Networks (ESNs) emerged due to their simplified and inexpensive training procedure. These networks are known to be sensitive to the setting of hyper-parameters, which…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Pietro Verzelli , Cesare Alippi , Lorenzo Livi

At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences? While deep learning has brought notable progress,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hongbo Liu , Jia Xu

The goal of this paper is to investigate the theoretical properties, the training algorithm, and the predictive control applications of Echo State Networks (ESNs), a particular kind of Recurrent Neural Networks. First, a condition…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Luca Bugliari Armenio , Enrico Terzi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Machine learning has become a widely popular and successful paradigm, including in data-driven science and engineering. A major application problem is data-driven forecasting of future states from a complex dynamical. Artificial neural…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-19 Erik Bollt
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