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Tracking and estimating Daily Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) is very important as it has been shown that PM2.5 is directly related to mortality related to lungs, cardiovascular system, and stroke. That is, high values of PM2.5 constitute a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Zhixing Xu , Jonathan R. Bradley , Debajyoti Sinha

Tumor heterogeneity is a complex and widely recognized trait that poses significant challenges in developing effective cancer therapies. In particular, many tumors harbor a variety of subpopulations with distinct therapeutic response…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-14 C. Wu , E. B. Gunnarsson , E. M. Myklebust , A. Köhn-Luque , D. S. Tadele , J. M. Enserink , A. Frigessi , J. Foo , K. Leder

This article presents a novel method for causal discovery with generalized structural equation models suited for analyzing diverse types of outcomes, including discrete, continuous, and mixed data. Causal discovery often faces challenges…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Minjie Wang , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) are probability distributions over vector-valued functions, and have been previously used for multi-output regression and for multi-class classification. A less explored facet of the multi-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-10 Sebastián Gómez-González , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Hernán Felipe García

Predicting in-hospital mortality for intensive care unit (ICU) patients is key to final clinical outcomes. AI has shown advantaged accuracy but suffers from the lack of explainability. To address this issue, this paper proposes an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Xingqiao Li , Jindong Gu , Zhiyong Wang , Yancheng Yuan , Bo Du , Fengxiang He

This paper explores a federated learning approach that automatically selects the number of latent processes in multi-output Gaussian processes (MGPs). The MGP has seen great success as a transfer learning tool when data is generated from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-25 Jingyi Gao , Seokhyun Chung

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

Modern engineering and scientific workflows often require simultaneous predictions across related tasks and fidelity levels, where high-fidelity data is scarce and expensive, while low-fidelity data is more abundant. This paper introduces…

Traditional survival analysis techniques focus on the occurrence of failures over the time. During analysis of such events, ignoring the related unobserved covariates or heterogeneity involved in data sample may leads us to adverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Shikhar Tyagi , Arvind Pandey , David D Hanagal

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

COVID-19 disease has affected almost every country in the world. The large number of infected people and the different mortality rates between countries has given rise to many hypotheses about the key points that make the virus so lethal in…

Assessing climate-driven mortality risk has become an emerging area of research in recent decades. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to explicitly incorporate climate-driven effects into both single- and multi-population stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jiacheng Min , Han Li , Thomas Nagler , Shuanming Li

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are widely used to discover latent structure in data, but their success hinges on selecting an appropriate model design. In practice, model specification is difficult and often requires iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Kevin Zhang , Yixin Wang

Often in machine learning, data are collected as a combination of multiple conditions, e.g., the voice recordings of multiple persons, each labeled with an ID. How could we build a model that captures the latent information related to these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Zhenwen Dai , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Reza Mohammadi , Matthew Pratola , Maurits Kaptein

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-20 Fariba Yousefi , Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Dynamic event prediction, using joint modeling of survival time and longitudinal variables, is extremely useful in personalized medicine. However, the estimation of joint models including many longitudinal markers is still a computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-13 Reza Hashemi , Taban Baghfalaki , Viviane Philipps , Helene Jacqmin-Gadda

Stroke remains one of the most critical global health challenges, ranking as the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. This study explores the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anastasija Tashkova , Stefan Eftimov , Bojan Ristov , Slobodan Kalajdziski

The co-occurrence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC), or multimorbidity, in an individual can reduce their lifespan and severely impact their quality of life. Exploring the longitudinal patterns, e.g. clusters, of disease accrual can…

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