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We consider sequences-indexed by time (discrete stages)-of families of multistage stochastic optimization problems. At each time, the optimization problems in a family are parameterized by some quantities (initial states, constraint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Michel de Lara

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Data observed at high sampling frequency are typically assumed to be an additive composite of a relatively slow-varying continuous-time component, a latent stochastic process or a smooth random function, and measurement error. Supposing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Jinyuan Chang , Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Cheng Yong Tang

Linear Dynamical System (LDS) is an elegant mathematical framework for modeling and learning multivariate time series. However, in general, it is difficult to set the dimension of its hidden state space. A small number of hidden states may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-04 Zitao Liu , Milos Hauskrecht

In the prediction of oscillating time series, the interest is in the turning points of successive oscillations rather than the samples themselves. For this purpose a scheme has been proposed; the state space reconstruction is limited to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-15 D. Kugiumtzis , I. Vlachos

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

This work considers stochastic operators in general inner-product spaces, and in particular, systems with stochastically time-varying input delays of a known probability distribution. Stochastic dissipativity and stability are defined from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Ethan LoCicero , Amy Strong , Leila Bridgeman

Can noise be beneficial to machine-learning prediction of chaotic systems? Utilizing reservoir computers as a paradigm, we find that injecting noise to the training data can induce a stochastic resonance with significant benefits to both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Ling-Wei Kong , Ying-Cheng Lai

Accurate gene regulatory networks can be used to explain the emergence of different phenotypes, disease mechanisms, and other biological functions. Many methods have been proposed to infer networks from gene expression data but have been…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-11 Phan Nguyen , Rosemary Braun

Control synthesis from temporal logic specifications has gained popularity in recent years. In this paper, we use a model predictive approach to control discrete time linear systems with additive bounded disturbances subject to constraints…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

We analyze the convergence of gradient-based optimization algorithms that base their updates on delayed stochastic gradient information. The main application of our results is to the development of gradient-based distributed optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-05-02 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

Many modern time-series datasets contain large numbers of output response variables sampled for prolonged periods of time. For example, in neuroscience, the activities of 100s-1000's of neurons are recorded during behaviors and in response…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Rui Meng , Kristofer Bouchard

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

This paper addresses identification of sparse linear and noise-driven continuous-time state-space systems, i.e., the right-hand sides in the dynamical equations depend only on a subset of the states. The key assumption in this study, is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

Time series forecasting faces two important but often overlooked challenges. Firstly, the inherent random noise in the time series labels sets a theoretical lower bound for the forecasting error, which is positively correlated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Tianyi Shi , Zhu Meng , Yue Chen , Siyang Zheng , Fei Su , Jin Huang , Changrui Ren , Zhicheng Zhao

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

We discuss the possibility of applying some standard statistical methods (the least square method, the maximum likelihood method, the method of statistical moments for estimation of parameters) to deterministically chaotic low-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

Stochastic process discovery is concerned with deriving a model capable of reproducing the stochastic character of observed executions of a given process, stored in a log. This leads to an optimisation problem in which the model's parameter…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Pierre Cry , Paolo Ballarini , András Horváth , Pascale Le Gall

In this paper, we consider optimal control problems derived by stochastic systems with delay, where control domains are non-convex and the diffusion coefficients depend on control variables. By an estimate of the integral of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Qixia Zhang

We study the temporal robustness of stochastic signals. This topic is of particular interest in interleaving processes such as multi-agent systems where communication and individual agents induce timing uncertainty. For a deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-15 Lars Lindemann , Alena Rodionova , George J. Pappas