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Time series prediction covers a vast field of every-day statistical applications in medical, environmental and economic domains. In this paper we develop nonparametric prediction strategies based on the combination of a set of 'experts' and…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-01-03 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , László Györfi , György Ottucsák

We consider efficient estimation of the Euclidean parameters in a generalized partially linear additive models for longitudinal/clustered data when multiple covariates need to be modeled nonparametrically, and propose an estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Guang Cheng , Lan Zhou , Jianhua Z. Huang

Active learning (AL) is a sequential learning scheme aiming to select the most informative data. AL reduces data consumption and avoids the cost of labeling large amounts of data. However, AL trains the model and solves an acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Cen-You Li , Marc Toussaint , Barbara Rakitsch , Christoph Zimmer

This paper studies nonparametric regression with long memory (LRD) errors and predictors. First, we formulate general conditions which guarantee the standard rate of convergence for a nonparametric kernel estimator. Second, we calculate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-25 Rafal Kulik , Pawel Lorek

Many existing data mining algorithms use feature values directly in their model, making them sensitive to units/scales used to measure/represent data. Pre-processing of data based on rank transformation has been suggested as a potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Arbind Agrahari Baniya , Sunil Aryal , Santosh KC

In this paper, we propose a semi-parametric model for autonomous nonlinear dynamical systems and devise an estimation procedure for model fitting. This model incorporates subject-specific effects and can be viewed as a nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-19 Debashis Paul , Jie Peng , Prabir Burman

Recent progress has been made with Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS) methods that show improvement in effective sample size. However, consistency for the AMIS estimator has only been established in very restricted cases.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-22 Sep Thijssen , H. J. Kappen

We present the marginal unbiased score expansion (MUSE) method, an algorithm for generic high-dimensional hierarchical Bayesian inference. MUSE performs approximate marginalization over arbitrary non-Gaussian latent parameter spaces,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-01 Marius Millea , Uros Seljak

A fundamental problem in statistical neuroscience is to model how neurons encode information by analyzing electrophysiological recordings. A popular and widely-used approach is to fit the spike trains with an autoregressive point process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

Due to their uncertainty quantification, Bayesian solutions to inverse problems are the framework of choice in applications that are risk averse. These benefits come at the cost of computations that are in general, intractable. New advances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Rafael Orozco , Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Many real world problems exhibit patterns that have periodic behavior. For example, in astrophysics, periodic variable stars play a pivotal role in understanding our universe. An important step when analyzing data from such processes is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

Parametric statistical models that are implicitly defined in terms of a stochastic data generating process are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines because they enable accurate modeling. However, learning the parameters from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-24 Traiko Dinev , Michael U. Gutmann

Estimation of the density of regression errors is a fundamental issue in regression analysis and it is typically explored via a parametric approach. This article uses a nonparametric approach with the mean integrated squared error (MISE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sam Efromovich

We develop algorithms for performing semiparametric regression analysis in real time, with data processed as it is collected and made immediately available via modern telecommunications technologies. Our definition of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-07 Jan Luts , Tamara Broderick , Matt P. Wand

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

The problem of guaranteed parameter estimation (GPE) consists in enclosing the set of all possible parameter values, such that the model predictions match the corresponding measurements within prescribed error bounds. One of the bottlenecks…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Junyan Su , Yanlin Zha , Kai Wang , Mario E. Villanueva , Radoslav Paulen , Boris Houska

We study the problem of sequential experimental design to estimate the parametric component of a partially linear model with a Gaussian process prior. We consider an active learning setting where an experimenter adaptively decides which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Shunsuke Horii

Abstract Meaning Representation (AMR) represents sentences as directed, acyclic and rooted graphs, aiming at capturing their meaning in a machine readable format. AMR parsing converts natural language sentences into such graphs. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Juri Opitz , Anette Frank

This paper proposes the Proximal Iteratively REweighted (PIRE) algorithm for solving a general problem, which involves a large body of nonconvex sparse and structured sparse related problems. Comparing with previous iterative solvers for…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Canyi Lu , Yunchao Wei , Zhouchen Lin , Shuicheng Yan