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We examine whether model-based spot volatility estimators extracted from traded options data enhance the predictive power of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model for realized volatility. Specifically, we infer spot volatility under…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-13 Zheqi Fan , Meng Melody Wang , Yifan Ye

This article presents a generic hybrid numerical method to price a wide range of options on one or several assets, as well as assets with stochastic drift or volatility. In particular for equity and interest rate hybrid with local…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-11 Olivier Deloire , Louis Roth

State estimation for hybrid systems that undergo intermittent contact with their environments, such as extraplanetary robots and satellites undergoing docking operations, is difficult due to the discrete uncertainty propagation during…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Karthik Shaji , Sreeranj Jayadevan , Bo Yuan , Hongzhe Yu , Yongxin Chen

Stochastic variance reduced optimization methods are known to be globally convergent while they suffer from slow local convergence, especially when moderate or high accuracy is needed. To alleviate this problem, we propose an optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Hamed Sadeghi , Pontus Giselsson

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

This paper addresses the problem of correlation estimation in sets of compressed images. We consider a framework where images are represented under the form of linear measurements due to low complexity sensing or security requirements. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-12-20 Vijayaraghavan Thirumalai , Pascal Frossard

By revisiting the path-integral formulation of the Hubbard model, we propose a theoretical approach based on a semiclassical approximation employing an unconventional coherent-state representation. Within this framework, a subset of the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-04-06 Yuki Yamasaki , Hidemaro Suwa , Cristian D. Batista , Shintaro Hoshino

We introduce a new strategy for coupling the parallel in time (parareal) iterative methodology with multiscale integrators. Following the parareal framework, the algorithm computes a low-cost approximation of all slow variables in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Gil Ariel , Seong Jun Kim , Richard Tsai

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

A hybrid observer is described for estimating the state of an $m>0$ channel, $n$-dimensional, continuous-time, distributed linear system of the form $\dot{x} = Ax,\;y_i = C_ix,\;i\in\{1,2,\ldots, m\}$. The system's state $x$ is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2022-08-05 L. Wang , A. S. Morse , D. Fullmer , J. Liu

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

This paper proposes a semidefinite programming based method for estimating moments of a stochastic hybrid system (SHS). For polynomial SHSs -- which consist of polynomial continuous vector fields, reset maps, and transition intensities --…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-02 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Andrew Lamperski , Abhyudai Singh

Using random matrix technique we determine an exact relation between the eigenvalue spectrum of the covariance matrix and of its estimator. This relation can be used in practice to compute eigenvalue invariants of the covariance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-15 Z. Burda , A. Goerlich , A. Jarosz , J. Jurkiewicz

Many decision problems cannot be solved exactly and use several estimation algorithms that assign scores to the different available options. The estimation errors can have various correlations, from low (e.g. between two very different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Theo Delemazure , François Durand , Fabien Mathieu

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

A symbolic approach to decentralized set-valued state estimation and prediction for systems that admit a hybrid state machine representations is proposed. The decentralized computational scheme represents a conj unction of a finite number…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Naim Bajcinca

This paper is concerned with the problem of distributed estimation for time-varying interconnected dynamic systems with arbitrary coupling structures. To guarantee the robustness of the designed estimators, novel distributed stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-02 Yuchen Zhang , Bo Chen , Li Yu , Daniel W. C. Ho

Low-rank matrix approximations are often used to help scale standard machine learning algorithms to large-scale problems. Recently, matrix coherence has been used to characterize the ability to extract global information from a subset of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-09-07 Mehryar Mohri , Ameet Talwalkar

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

Extensions of earlier algorithms and enhanced visualization techniques for approximating a correlation matrix are presented. The visualization problems that result from using column or colum--and--row adjusted correlation matrices, which…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-24 Jan Graffelman