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The recently developed "Data Set Diagonalization" method (DSD) is applied to measure compatibility of the data sets that are used to determine parton distribution functions (PDFs). Discrepancies among the experiments are found to be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-04-22 Jon Pumplin

Inverse problems constrained by partial differential equations are often ill-conditioned due to noisy and incomplete data or inherent non-uniqueness. A prominent example is full waveform inversion, which estimates Earth's subsurface…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ali Siahkoohi , Kamal Aghazade , Ali Gholami

With the advent of high-performance computing, Bayesian methods are increasingly popular tools for the quantification of uncertainty throughout science and industry. Since these methods impact the making of sometimes critical decisions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan

We discuss the Hessian PDF reweighting - a technique intended to estimate the effects that new measurements have on a set of PDFs. The method stems straightforwardly from considering new data in a usual $\chi^2$-fit and it naturally…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-08-21 Hannu Paukkunen , Pia Zurita

Modern Bayesian inference involves a mixture of computational techniques for estimating, validating, and drawing conclusions from probabilistic models as part of principled workflows for data analysis. Typical problems in Bayesian workflows…

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

We discuss how to apply the Hessian method (i) to predict the impact of a new data set (or sets) on the parton distribution functions (PDFs) and their errors, by producing an updated best-fit PDF and error PDF sets, such as the CTEQ-TEA…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-11-14 Carl Schmidt , Jon Pumplin , C. -P. Yuan

When using the finite element method (FEM) in inverse problems, its discretization error can produce parameter estimates that are inaccurate and overconfident. The Bayesian finite element method (BFEM) provides a probabilistic model for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Anne Poot , Iuri Rocha , Pierre Kerfriden , Frans van der Meer

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel

Bayesian inference paradigms are regarded as powerful tools for solution of inverse problems. However, when applied to inverse problems in physical sciences, Bayesian formulations suffer from a number of inconsistencies that are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Klaus Mosegaard

We present a method developed by the NNPDF Collaboration that allows the inclusion of new experimental data into an existing set of parton distribution functions without the need for a complete refit. A Monte Carlo ensemble of PDFs may be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-03 Francesco Cerutti , Nathan Hartland

The Bayesian inversion method demonstrates significant potential for solving inverse problems, enabling both point estimation and uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation may become unstable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ruibiao Song , Liying Zhang

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves. These techniques facilitate robust Bayesian analyses and/or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-06 Ian Vernon , John Paul Gosling

Bayesian approaches are one of the primary methodologies to tackle an inverse problem in high dimensions. Such an inverse problem arises in hydrology to infer the permeability field given flow data in a porous media. It is common practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Navid Shervani-Tabar

This paper investigates the consistency of a posterior distribution in the single-measurement fractional Calder\'on problem with additive Gaussian noise. We consider a Bayesian framework with rescaled and Gaussian sieve priors, using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Pu-Zhao Kow , Janne Nurminen , Jesse Railo

In this paper, we study efficient approximate sampling for probability distributions known up to normalization constants. We specifically focus on a problem class arising in Bayesian inference for large-scale inverse problems in science and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

We consider filters for the detection and extraction of compact sources on a background. We make a one-dimensional treatment (though a generalization to two or more dimensions is possible) assuming that the sources have a Gaussian profile…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Lopez-Caniego , D. Herranz , R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz

In this paper we investigate the Bayesian approach to inverse Robin problems. These are problems for certain elliptic boundary value problems of determining a Robin coefficient on a hidden part of the boundary from Cauchy data on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Aksel Kaastrup Rasmussen , Fanny Seizilles , Mark Girolami , Ieva Kazlauskaite

Probability density functions (PDFs) can be understood as continuous compositions by the theory of Bayes spaces. The origin of a Bayes space is determined by a given reference measure. This can be easily changed through the well-known chain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-18 R. Talska , A. Menafoglio , K. Hron , J. J. Egozcue , J. Palarea-Albaladejo

We consider the inference of the structure of an undirected graphical model in an exact Bayesian framework. More specifically we aim at achieving the inference with close-form posteriors, avoiding any sampling step. This task would be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-02 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin , Michael Stumpf
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