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As one of the central tasks in machine learning, regression finds lots of applications in different fields. An existing common practice for solving regression problems is the mean square error (MSE) minimization approach or its regularized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-24 Jirong Yi , Qiaosheng Zhang , Zhen Chen , Qiao Liu , Wei Shao , Yusen He , Yaohua Wang

Recently, there has been substantial interest in statistical guarantees for cross-validation (CV) methods of uncertainty quantification in statistical learning (cf. Barber et al. 2021a, Liang and Barber 2024, Steinberger and Leeb 2023).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Nicolai Amann , Hannes Leeb , Lukas Steinberger

Machine learning is a vital part of many real-world systems, but several concerns remain about the lack of interpretability, explainability and robustness of black-box AI systems. Concept Bottleneck Models (CBM) address some of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Hidde Fokkema , Tim van Erven , Sara Magliacane

Generalization error bounds are essential to understanding machine learning algorithms. This paper presents novel expected generalization error upper bounds based on the average joint distribution between the output hypothesis and each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Gholamali Aminian , Yuheng Bu , Gregory Wornell , Miguel Rodrigues

We analyze a family of supervised learning algorithms based on sample compression schemes that are stable, in the sense that removing points from the training set which were not selected for the compression set does not alter the resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Steve Hanneke , Aryeh Kontorovich

Information Bottlenecks (IBs) learn representations that generalize to unseen data by information compression. However, existing IBs are practically unable to guarantee generalization in real-world scenarios due to the vacuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Yilin Lyu , Xin Liu , Mingyang Song , Xinyue Wang , Yaxin Peng , Tieyong Zeng , Liping Jing

Process capability indices such as $C_{pk}$ are widely used for manufacturing decisions, yet are typically applied via deterministic thresholding of finite-sample estimates, ignoring uncertainty and leading to unstable outcomes near the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-16 Fei Jiang , Lei Yang

We establish in-expectation and tail bounds on the generalization error of representation learning type algorithms. The bounds are in terms of the relative entropy between the distribution of the representations extracted from the training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-21 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi , Piotr Krasnowski

Estimating and optimizing Mutual Information (MI) is core to many problems in machine learning; however, bounding MI in high dimensions is challenging. To establish tractable and scalable objectives, recent work has turned to variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Ben Poole , Sherjil Ozair , Aaron van den Oord , Alexander A. Alemi , George Tucker

This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

We analyze the generalization ability of joint-training meta learning algorithms via the Gibbs algorithm. Our exact characterization of the expected meta generalization error for the meta Gibbs algorithm is based on symmetrized KL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Yuheng Bu , Harsha Vardhan Tetali , Gholamali Aminian , Miguel Rodrigues , Gregory Wornell

Generalized mutual information (GMI) is used to compute achievable rates for fading channels with various types of channel state information at the transmitter (CSIT) and receiver (CSIR). The GMI is based on variations of auxiliary channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Gerhard Kramer

A critical challenge remains unresolved as generative AI systems are quickly implemented in various organizational settings. Despite significant advances in memory components such as RAG, vector stores, and LLM agents, these systems still…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Kristy Wedel

Common information (CI) is ubiquitous in information theory and related areas such as theoretical computer science and discrete probability. However, because there are multiple notions of CI, a unified understanding of the deep…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Lei Yu , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Concept Bottleneck Model (CBM) is a methods for explaining neural networks. In CBM, concepts which correspond to reasons of outputs are inserted in the last intermediate layer as observed values. It is expected that we can interpret the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-15 Naoki Hayashi , Yoshihide Sawada

In many applications of relational learning, the available data can be seen as a sample from a larger relational structure (e.g. we may be given a small fragment from some social network). In this paper we are particularly concerned with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-05 Ondrej Kuzelka , Yuyi Wang , Steven Schockaert

Modeling the spread of social contagions is central to various applications in social computing. In this paper, we study the learnability of the competitive threshold model from a theoretical perspective. We demonstrate how competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Yifan Wang , Guangmo Tong

We derive upper bounds on the generalization error of a learning algorithm in terms of the mutual information between its input and output. The bounds provide an information-theoretic understanding of generalization in learning problems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

We are motivated by the problem of providing strong generalization guarantees in the context of meta-learning. Existing generalization bounds are either challenging to evaluate or provide vacuous guarantees in even relatively simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Alec Farid , Anirudha Majumdar

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang
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