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For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

Estimating entropy production from real observation data can be difficult due to finite resolution in both space and time and finite measurement statistics. We characterize the statistical error introduced by finite sample size and compare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Jonas H. Fritz , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

Entropy metrics are nonlinear measures to quantify the complexity of time series. Among them, permutation entropy is a common metric due to its robustness and fast computation. Multivariate entropy metrics techniques are needed to analyse…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-02 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero

The computer simulation of many molecular processes is complicated by long time scales caused by rare transitions between long-lived states. Here, we propose a new approach to simulate such rare events, which combines transition path…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-03-23 Sebastian Falkner , Alessandro Coretti , Christoph Dellago

We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

In biochemical systems some of the chemical species are present with only small numbers of molecules. In this situation discrete and stochastic simulation approaches are more relevant than continuous and deterministic ones. The fundamental…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-03-18 Tae-Hyuk Ahn , Adrian Sandu , Xiaoying Han

Traditional thermodynamic trade-off relations usually apply to quantities that depend linearly on probability distributions. In contrast, many important information-theoretic measures, such as entropies, are nonlinear and therefore…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-17 Yoshihiko Hasegawa

Simulating time evolution under quantum Hamiltonians is one of the most natural applications of quantum computers. We introduce TE-PAI, which simulates time evolution exactly by sampling random quantum circuits for the purpose of estimating…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Chusei Kiumi , Bálint Koczor

The Cox model is an indispensable tool for time-to-event analysis, particularly in biomedical research. However, medicine is undergoing a profound transformation, generating data at an unprecedented scale, which opens new frontiers to study…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Alexander W. Jung , Moritz Gerstung

Across diverse biological systems -- ranging from neural networks to intracellular signaling and genetic regulatory networks -- the information about changes in the environment is frequently encoded in the full temporal dynamics of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Sarah A Cepeda-Humerez , Jakob Ruess , Gašper Tkačik

Stochastic modeling and simulation provide powerful predictive methods for the intrinsic understanding of fundamental mechanisms in complex biochemical networks. Typically, such mathematical models involve networks of coupled jump…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Yannis Pantazis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Dionisios G. Vlachos

In this paper the estimation of the distribution function for potential outcomes to receiving or not receiving a treatment is studied. The approach is based on weighting observed data on the basis on estimated propensity score. A weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Pier Luigi Conti , Livia De Giovanni

The stochastic dynamics of biochemical networks are usually modelled with the chemical master equation (CME). The stationary distributions of CMEs are seldom solvable analytically, and numerical methods typically produce estimates with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

The vast majority of biochemical systems involve the exchange of information between different compartments, either in the form of transportation or via the intervention of membrane proteins which are able to transmit stimuli between…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-11-30 Federica Ciocchetta , Adam Duguid , Maria Luisa Guerriero

Relative entropy, as a divergence metric between two distributions, can be used for offline change-point detection and extends classical methods that mainly rely on moment-based discrepancies. To build a statistical test suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Matthieu Garcin , Louis Perot

Translating potential disease biomarkers between multi-species 'omics' experiments is a new direction in biomedical research. The existing methods are limited to simple experimental setups such as basic healthy-diseased comparisons. Most of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-12-16 Ilkka Huopaniemi , Tommi Suvitaival , Matej Orešič , Samuel Kaski

Thermodynamic phase transitions, a central concept in physics and chemistry, are typically controlled by an interplay of enthalpic and entropic contributions. In most cases, the estimation of the enthalpy in simulations is straightforward…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-30 Yamin Ben-Shimon , Barak Hirshberg , Yohai Bar-Sinai

Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

The laws of thermodynamics apply to biophysical systems on the nanoscale as described by the framework of stochastic thermodynamics. This theory provides universal, exact relations for quantities like work, which have been verified in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-26 Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

Tip-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (TERS) is a valuable method for surface analysis with nanometer to angstrom-scale resolution, however, the accurate simulation of particular TERS signals remains a computational challenge. We present a unique…