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We develop a data-driven framework for assessing the resilience of linear time-invariant systems against malicious false-data-injection sensor attacks. Leveraging sparse observability, we propose data-driven resilience metrics and derive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Takumi Shinohara , Karl Henrik Johansson , Henrik Sandberg

For the description of a pandemic mathematical models could be interesting. Both for physicians and politicians as a base for decisions to treat the disease. The responsible estimation of parameters is a main issue of mathematical pandemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-15 Günter Bärwolff

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

In this paper, a purely measurement-based method is proposed to estimate the dynamic system state matrix by applying the regression theorem of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The proposed method employs a recursive algorithm to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-29 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

Single time-scale distributed estimation of dynamic systems via a network of sensors/estimators is addressed in this letter. In single time-scale distributed estimation, the two fusion steps, consensus and measurement exchange, are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee , Houman Zarrabi , Usman A. Khan

We provide an overview of the methods that can be used for prediction under uncertainty and data fitting of dynamical systems, and of the fundamental challenges that arise in this context. The focus is on SIR-like models, that are being…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Chiara Piazzola , Lorenzo Tamellini , Raúl Tempone

This paper investigates online identification and prediction for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. In contrast to offline learning methods, we develop online algorithms that learn unknown parameters from a single trajectory. A key…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-07 Lantian Zhang , Silun Zhang

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for informing public health decisions and timely interventions. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks have shown promise in various scientific domains, their potential application to real-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-20 Martina Rama , Gabriele Santin , Giulia Cencetti , Michele Tizzoni , Bruno Lepri

Compartmental models, especially the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, have long been used to understand the behaviour of various diseases. Allowing parameters, such as the transmission rate, to be time-dependent functions makes it…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Son Luu , Edward Susko , Lam Si Tung Ho

The synthesis of robust invariant sets for nonlinear systems has traditionally been hindered by the inherent non convexity and a strict reliance on exact analytical models. This paper presents a purely data-driven framework to compute…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Sahand Kiani , Constantino M. Lagoa

Motivated by the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic models proposed by Kermack and Mckendrick, we consider a class of stochastic compartmental dynamical systems with a notion of partial ordering among the compartments.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-03 Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Boseung Choi , Eben Kenah , Grzegorz A. Rempala

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

In this work, we aim to formalize a novel scientific machine learning framework to reconstruct the hidden dynamics of the transmission rate, whose inaccurate extrapolation can significantly impair the quality of the epidemic forecasts, by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Giovanni Ziarelli , Stefano Pagani , Nicola Parolini , Francesco Regazzoni , Marco Verani

The integrative analysis of multiple datasets is an important strategy in data analysis. It is increasingly popular in genomics, which enjoys a wealth of publicly available datasets that can be compared, contrasted, and combined in order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-20 Sihai Dave Zhao

The use of dual system estimation (DSE) is heavily used in Census Bureau operations. With DSE methods, it is important to implement methods to infer the population size among those with missing data from one or both data sources. The use of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Lu

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

Power system state estimation (PSSE) is commonly formulated as weighted least-square (WLS) algorithm and solved using iterative methods such as Gauss-Newton methods. However, iterative methods have become more sensitive to system operating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Narayan Bhusal , Raj Mani Shukla , Mukesh Gautam , Mohammed Benidris , Shamik Sengupta

This paper presents a new robust data-driven predictive control scheme for unknown linear time-invariant systems by using input-state-output or input-output data based on whether the state is measurable. To remove the need for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Kaijian Hu , Tao Liu

In this paper, we propose a semi-parametric model for autonomous nonlinear dynamical systems and devise an estimation procedure for model fitting. This model incorporates subject-specific effects and can be viewed as a nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-19 Debashis Paul , Jie Peng , Prabir Burman
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