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This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

Traditional observer design methods rely on certain properties of the system's nonlinearity, such as Lipschitz continuity, one-sided Lipschitzness, a bounded Jacobian, or quadratic boundedness. These properties are described by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-10 Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Karl H. Johansson

In the context of dynamical systems, nonlinearity measures quantify the strength of nonlinearity by means of the distance of their input-output behaviour to a set of linear input-output mappings. In this paper, we establish a framework to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer

Infectious disease modeling and forecasting have played a key role in helping assess and respond to epidemics and pandemics. Recent work has leveraged data on disease peak infection and peak hospital incidence to fit compartmental models…

This paper investigates the idea of designing data-driven partial estimators for nonlinear systems showing parametric uncertainties using sparse multivariate polynomial relationships. A general framework is first presented and then…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-04 Mazen Alamir

We propose in this paper a data driven state estimation scheme for generating nonlinear reduced models for parametric families of PDEs, directly providing data-to-state maps, represented in terms of Deep Neural Networks. A major constituent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Wolfgang Dahmen , Min Wang , Zhu Wang

This paper proposes novel set-theoretic approaches for state estimation in bounded-error discrete-time nonlinear systems, subject to nonlinear observations/constraints. By transforming the polytopic sets that are characterized as zonotope…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-07 Mohammad Khajenejad , Fatima Shoaib , Sze Zheng Yong

The importance of state estimation in fluid mechanics is well-established; it is required for accomplishing several tasks including design/optimization, active control, and future state prediction. A common tactic in this regards is to rely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-14 Yash Kumar , Pranav Bahl , Souvik Chakraborty

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

On-line estimation plays an important role in process control and monitoring. Obtaining a theoretical solution to the simultaneous state-parameter estimation problem for non-linear stochastic systems involves solving complex…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

In this work we review a class of deterministic nonlinear models for the propagation of infectious diseases over contact networks with strongly-connected topologies. We consider network models for susceptible-infected (SI),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Wenjun Mei , Shadi Mohagheghi , Sandro Zampieri , Francesco Bullo

Various neural network architectures are used in many of the state-of-the-art approaches for real-time nonlinear state estimation in dynamical systems. With the ever-increasing incorporation of these data-driven models into the estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Devin Hunter , Chinwendu Enyioha

This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model that captures the spread of competing epidemics over a population network. First, we provide sufficient conditions for the infection level of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-17 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

This paper presents a novel data-driven, direct filtering approach for unknown linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown-but-bounded measurement noise. The proposed technique combines independent multistep prediction models,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marco Lauricella , Lorenzo Fagiano

We consider the problem of designing an invariant set using only a finite set of input-state data collected from an unknown polynomial system in continuous time. We consider noisy data, i.e., corrupted by an unknown-but-bounded disturbance.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Alessandro Luppi , Andrea Bisoffi , Claudio De Persis , Pietro Tesi

This paper focuses on securely estimating the state of a nonlinear dynamical system from a set of corrupted measurements. In particular, we consider two broad classes of nonlinear systems, and propose a technique which enables us to perform…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-23 Qie Hu , Dariush Fooladivanda , Young Hwan Chang , Claire J. Tomlin

In this paper, we consider distributed simultaneous state and parameter estimation for a class of nonlinear systems, for which the augmented model comprising both the states and the parameters is only partially observable. Specifically, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-02 Siyu Liu , Xunyuan Yin , Jinfeng Liu , Feng Ding

Control and state estimation procedures need to be robust against imprecisely known parameters, uncertainty in initial conditions, and external disturbances. Interval methods and other set-based techniques form the basis for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Andreas Rauh , Marit Lahme , Simon Rohou , Luc Jaulin , Thach Ngoc Dinh , Tarek Raissi , Mohamed Fnadi

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro