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Time series forecasting is difficult. It is difficult even for recurrent neural networks with their inherent ability to learn sequentiality. This article presents a recurrent neural network based time series forecasting framework covering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Gábor Petneházi

Crowd trajectory prediction plays a crucial role in public safety and management, where it can help prevent disasters such as stampedes. Recent works address the problem by predicting individual trajectories and considering surrounding…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Antonius Bima Murti Wijaya , Paul Henderson , Marwa Mahmoud

We consider Bayesian logistic regression models with group-structured covariates. In high-dimensional settings, it is often assumed that only small portion of groups are significant, thus consistent group selection is of significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-05 Kyoungjae Lee , Xuan Cao

This paper is the first study to examine the time instability of the APT in the Japanese stock market. In particular, we measure how changes in each risk factor affect the stock risk premiums to investigate the validity of the APT over…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-18 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

The past decade has witnessed a dramatically growing interest in collective intelligence - the phenomenon of groups having an ability to make more accurate decisions than isolated individuals. However, the vast majority of studies to date…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-06 Albert B. Kao , Shoubhik Banerjee , Fritz Francisco , Andrew M. Berdahl

It is important to classify covering subgroups of the fundamental group of a topological space using their topological properties in the topologized fundamental group. In this paper, we introduce and study some topologies on the fundamental…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2018-07-04 M. Ab dullahi Rashid , N. Jamali , B. Mashayekhy , S. Z. Pashaei , H. Torabi

In this paper, we consider the problem of exploring structural regularities of networks by dividing the nodes of a network into groups such that the members of each group have similar patterns of connections to other groups. Specifically,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-30 Hua-Wei Shen , Xue-Qi Cheng , Jia-Feng Guo

In this paper, we propose an adaptive group lasso procedure to efficiently estimate structural breaks in cointegrating regressions. It is well-known that the group lasso estimator is not simultaneously estimation consistent and model…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-21 Karsten Schweikert

We introduce a compositional power transformation, known as an {\alpha}-transformation, to model and forecast a time series of life-table death counts, possibly with zero counts observed at older ages. As a generalisation of the isometric…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-19 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

While prior work on group recommender systems (GRSs) has primarily focused on improving recommendation accuracy, most approaches assume static or predefined groups, making them unsuitable for dynamic, real-world scenarios. We reframe group…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Junhyung Park , Hyungjin Kim , Seokho Ahn , Young-Duk Seo

In this paper, we study connections between the structure of a group and the structure of the group (under pointwise product) of its polynomial functions.

Group Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. Endimioni

Sparse regression and classification estimators that respect group structures have application to an assortment of statistical and machine learning problems, from multitask learning to sparse additive modeling to hierarchical selection.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Ryan Thompson , Farshid Vahid

Time series classification is of significant importance in monitoring structural systems. In this work, we investigate the use of supervised machine learning classification algorithms on simulated data based on a physical system with two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Ergys Çokaj , Halvor Snersrud Gustad , Andrea Leone , Per Thomas Moe , Lasse Moldestad

As a model of temporally evolving networks, we consider a globally coupled logistic map with variable connection weights. The model exhibits self-organization of network structure, reflected by the collective behavior of units. Structural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Junji Ito , Kunihiko Kaneko

This paper presents static and dynamic versions of univariate, multivariate, and multilevel functional time-series methods to forecast implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets. We find that dynamic functional principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Han Lin Shang , Fearghal Kearney

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

In this monograph, we give an account of the relationship between the algebraic structure of finitely generated and countable groups and the regularity with which they act on manifolds. We concentrate on the case of one--dimensional…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Sang-hyun Kim , Thomas Koberda

Tree-graded spaces are a generalization of $\mathbb{R}$-trees and play an important role in describing the large-scale geometry of relatively hyperbolic groups. We consider a subclass of tree-graded spaces that we call "disjointly…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Jeremy Brazas , Curtis Kent

The multi-group learning model formalizes the learning scenario in which a single predictor must generalize well on multiple, possibly overlapping subgroups of interest. We extend the study of multi-group learning to the natural case where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Samuel Deng , Daniel Hsu

Recent advances in deep learning architectures for sequence modeling have not fully transferred to tasks handling time-series from electronic health records. In particular, in problems related to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Rita Kuznetsova , Alizée Pace , Manuel Burger , Hugo Yèche , Gunnar Rätsch