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In data analysis, unexpected results often prompt researchers to revisit their procedures to identify potential issues. While some researchers may struggle to identify the root causes, experienced researchers can often quickly diagnose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 H. Sherry Zhang , Roger D. Peng

The features of a logically sound approach to a theory of statistical reasoning are discussed. A particular approach that satisfies these criteria is reviewed. This is seen to involve selection of a model, model checking, elicitation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Luai Al-Labadi , Zeynep Baskurt , Michael Evans

Nonnegative matrix factorization can be used to automatically detect topics within a corpus in an unsupervised fashion. The technique amounts to an approximation of a nonnegative matrix as the product of two nonnegative matrices of lower…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Michael R. Lindstrom , Xiaofu Ding , Feng Liu , Anand Somayajula , Deanna Needell

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

In a bivariate setting, we consider the problem of detecting a sparse contamination or mixture component, where the effect manifests itself as a positive dependence between the variables, which are otherwise independent in the main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Ery Arias-Castro , Rong Huang , Nicolas Verzelen

Organisms and algorithms learn probability distributions from previous observations, either over evolutionary time or on the fly. In the absence of regularities, estimating the underlying distribution from data would require observing each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-10 William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer , David J. Schwab

Methods for causal inference are well developed for binary and continuous exposures, but in many settings, the exposure has a substantial mass at zero-such exposures are called semi-continuous. We propose a general causal framework for such…

Conducting a randomization test is a common method for testing causal null hypotheses in randomized experiments. The popularity of randomization tests is largely because their statistical validity only depends on the randomization design,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Siyu Heng , Pamela A. Shaw

Prior work applying semiparametric theory to causal inference has primarily focused on deriving estimators that exhibit statistical robustness under a prespecified causal model that permits identification of a desired causal parameter.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Junhui Yang , Rohit Bhattacharya , Youjin Lee , Ted Westling

There have been recent debates about whether $\overline{\text{MS}}$ parton densities exactly obey positivity bounds (including the Soffer bound), and whether the bounds should be applied as a constraint on global fits to parton densities…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-05-02 John Collins , Ted C. Rogers , Nobuo Sato

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

Test-negative designs are widely used for post-market evaluation of vaccine effectiveness, particularly in cases when randomized trials are not feasible. Differing from classical test-negative designs where only healthcare-seekers with…

We describe a novel language-independent approach to the task of determining the polarity, positive or negative, of the author's opinion on a specific topic in natural language text. In particular, weights are assigned to attributes,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Veselin Raychev , Preslav Nakov

We show that if a strictly positive joint probability distribution for a set of binary random variables factors according to a tree, then vertex separation represents all and only the independence relations enclosed in the distribution. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Ann Becker , Dan Geiger , Christopher Meek

We consider a new group testing model wherein each item is a binary random variable defined by an a priori probability of being defective. We assume that each probability is small and that items are independent, but not necessarily…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Tongxin Li , Chun Lam Chan , Wenhao Huang , Tarik Kaced , Sidharth Jaggi

Observational cohort studies with oversampled exposed subjects are typically implemented to understand the causal effect of a rare exposure. Because the distribution of exposed subjects in the sample differs from the source population,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Sherri Rose

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing properties of joint distributions under the Conditional Sampling framework. In the standard sampling model, the sample complexity of testing properties of joint distributions is exponential…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Rishiraj Bhattacharyya , Sourav Chakraborty

Studies intended to estimate the effect of a treatment, like randomized trials, may not be sampled from the desired target population. To correct for this discrepancy, estimates can be transported to the target population. Methods for…

We propose the density ratio permutation test, a hypothesis test that assesses whether the ratio between two densities is proportional to a known function based on independent samples from each distribution. The test uses an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Alberto Bordino , Thomas B. Berrett

In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio