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Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful statistical machine learning tool to construct uncertainty sets with coverage guarantees, which has fueled its extensive adoption in generating prediction regions for decision-making tasks, e.g.,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Han Wang , Chao Ning

In a global numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling framework we study the implementation of Gaussian uncertainty of individual particles into the assimilation step of a localized adaptive particle filter (LAPF). We obtain a local…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-16 Anne Rojahn , Nora Schenk , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Roland Potthast

Particle identification in large high-energy physics experiments typically relies on classifiers obtained by combining many experimental observables. Predicting the probability density function (pdf) of such classifiers in the multivariate…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2022-02-11 Giacomo Graziani , Lucio Anderlini , Saverio Mariani , Edoardo Franzoso , Luciano Libero Pappalardo , Pasquale di Nezza

We propose Pathfinder, a variational method for approximately sampling from differentiable log densities. Starting from a random initialization, Pathfinder locates normal approximations to the target density along a quasi-Newton…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-17 Lu Zhang , Bob Carpenter , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

Collision avoidance in the presence of dynamic obstacles in unknown environments is one of the most critical challenges for unmanned systems. In this paper, we present a method that identifies obstacles in terms of ellipsoids to estimate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Mehmetcan Kaymaz , Nazim Kemal Ure

This paper proposes a novel particle filter for tracking time-varying states of multiple targets jointly from superpositional data, which depend on the sum of contributions of all targets. Many conventional tracking methods rely on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-26 Nobutaka Ito , Simon Godsill

Track-before-detect (TBD) is a powerful approach that consists in providing the tracker with sensor measurements directly without pre-detection. Due to the measurement model non-linearities, online state estimation in TBD is most commonly…

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

Lagrangian Particle Tracking (LPT) enables practitioners to study various concepts in turbulence by measuring particle positions in flows of interest. This data is subject to measurement errors, and filtering techniques are applied to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Kasey M. Laurent , Reece V. Kearney

Particle filtering methods can be applied to estimation problems in discrete spaces on bounded domains, to sample from and marginalise over unknown hidden states. As in continuous settings, problems such as particle degradation can arise:…

We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize an unknown objective function against the worst-case realization of an uncertain parameter. For this setting, we design a novel sample-efficient algorithm GP-MRO, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Ilija Bogunovic , Maryam Kamgarpour , Andreas Krause

Trajectory analysis is not only about obtaining movement data, but it is also of paramount importance in understanding the pattern in which an object moves through space and time, as well as in predicting its next move. Due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Chanuka Don Samarasinghage , Dhruv Gulabani

Trajectory generation has recently drawn growing interest in privacy-preserving urban mobility studies and location-based service applications. Although many studies have used deep learning or generative AI methods to model trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Yuanbo Tang , Yan Tang , Zixuan Zhang , Zihui Zhao , Yang Li

We propose a new Group Feature Selection method for Discriminative Correlation Filters (GFS-DCF) based visual object tracking. The key innovation of the proposed method is to perform group feature selection across both channel and spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-05 Tianyang Xu , Zhen-Hua Feng , Xiao-Jun Wu , Josef Kittler

Trajectory similarity retrieval is an important part of spatiotemporal data mining, however, existing methods have the following limitations: traditional metrics are computationally expensive, while learning-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Yang Xu , Zuliang Yang , Kai Ming Ting

Trajectory data collection is a common task with many applications in our daily lives. Analyzing trajectory data enables service providers to enhance their services, which ultimately benefits users. However, directly collecting trajectory…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Yuemin Zhang , Qingqing Ye , Rui Chen , Haibo Hu , Qilong Han

Properties of ocular fixations and saccades are highly stochastic during many experimental tasks, and their statistics are often used as proxies for various aspects of cognition. Although distinguishing saccades from fixations is not…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Charles Orioma , Josef Krivan , Rujeena Mathema , Pedro Lencastre , Pedro G. Lind , Alexander Szorkovszky , Shailendra Bhandari

In this paper, we propose FCHD-Fully Convolutional Head Detector, an end-to-end trainable head detection model. Our proposed architecture is a single fully convolutional network which is responsible for both bounding box prediction and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Aditya Vora , Vinay Chilaka

Trajectory prediction is a crucial undertaking in understanding entity movement or human behavior from observed sequences. However, current methods often assume that the observed sequences are complete while ignoring the potential for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Yi Xu , Armin Bazarjani , Hyung-gun Chi , Chiho Choi , Yun Fu

This paper presents a new derivation of the variational Poisson multi-Bernoulli (V-PMB) filter for multi-target estimation proposed in [#Williams15]. The proposed derivation is based on considering an augmented space that includes the set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Yuxuan Xia